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jmiller
25 year racetrack handicapper who's also done just about every job at the track (can you say clutch!). Current: Thoroughbred morning line oddsmaker, director of racing, lead analyst. President of the Racing Industry Charitable Foundation, and USTA Treasurer. College All-American, Minor League Baseball Superstar (yeah, we said it). 4-time Camel Jockey.
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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu July 10th, 2025

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:43 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Tum Tap - 2 Prissy - 6 Biagoddess -

1-TUM TAP has the benefit of a race under her belt. She has some speed and will have to go from the rail draw. The barn is on fire of late. 2-PRISSY seems to be outworking her stablemate a bit. The barn trains for speed and likes to win early. 6-BIAGODDESS gets the benefit of the outside draw. Last in, first out could play to her advantage.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 3:11 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Marz Eatoats - 4 Night Blue (IRE) - 6 Mary Moonglow -

Turf experience benefits the top two as 2-MARZ EATOATS ran well while sprinting on the grass in her last. She could clear and never look back. 4-NIGHT BLUE returns from a race in Minnesota as she rallied in the lane last out. The added 16th should help. 6-MARY MOONGLOW tries the turf in here. If she handles it, she could be tough.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:44 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Dripping Springs - 6 Ragnow - 3 My Last Escapade -

The class drop may be what 5-DRIPPING SPRINGS needs to grab a win. He has some early speed and could be a good fit for Tavares. 6-RAGNOW has had many chances to break through. Maybe the turn back in distance is a plus. 3-MY LAST ESCAPADE is much like Ragnow. He tries hard and just comes up slightly short in the end.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Racarino - 6 Stingy - 7 Winging Ways -

Seems like there's some pace in here which should help 5-RACARINO as he could stalk and pounce in the lane. He likes this track and fits at the distance. 6-STINGY could be worth a look at a price. He ran a decent race at this distance two back and will benefit from the pace ahead of him. 7-WINGING WAYS has speed and will try to beat the others to the top. If he can clear he may be tough to catch.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:42 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Shady McGee (IRE) - 4 Wicked Suprise - 3 Bakeneko -

A very tough race as almost any can win in here. Hoping there's enough pace for 5-SHADY MCGEE to close into. He has had past turf success and Centeno takes the call. 4-WICKED SUPRISE is a different horse on turf. He should be on or near the lead and will dig in when challenged. 3-BAKENEKO is often overlooked but he can step up while at a price. He should be stalking early and running on late.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 5:09 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Jet Flight - 8 Land Mark Deal - 7 Two Cookie Rule -

Seems to be a bit more pace in this race than what we have seen at this level in the past. That could help the chances of 3-JET FLIGHT as he has been knocking on the door in recent starts. He likes this track and has been a fit with Colon in the saddle. 8-LAND MARK DEAL also will need some pace to chase. He didn't like the slop in his last but will benefit from a fast track return. 7-TWO COOKIE RULE has been consistent in recent races. He was a good winner two back and has found the board in more than half of his nearly 40 Hawthorne starts.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 6:09 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Long Tall Woman - 2 Frosted Eclair - 6 More Than a Diva -

I like the return back to the turf for 4-LONG TALL WOMAN as she comes off a near miss in her last. She fits well at the distance and may rate a bit closer early. 2-FROSTED ECLAIR could also show some speed as she defeated Long Tall Woman in her last. She's also proven on turf and should take her share of action. 6-MORE THAN A DIVA may be the one who makes the lead in here. If she can clear she could potentially steal this race.