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Sun May 5th, 2024 |
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Howard's Late Pick 4
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:50 PM CST
Race 5:
1 – 2 – 3
Pick4: 1,2,3
/ 5 / 1 / ALL ($15)
A nice
allowance field going two turns comes together to kick off the Late P4, and I’ll
go with #1 Graceleadsushome (4-1), who has been facing La.-breds in New Orleans
recently. Those races are on par with company here, and I like the tactical
speed the mare will show from the inside. Trainer Roussel spots his horses well
and should have this one ready off the brief layoff.
Race 6: 5 – 7 – 3
I’ll be very surprised if #5 Ronic (7-5) losses today. He won last time routing and now turns back to a sprint, but he had been facing MUCH tougher throughout his career until he dropped down to $5k claimers in his last. Back up the class ladder, but one he should handle with aplomb.
Race 7:
1 – 5 – 4
#1 Driven
One (9-5) is only
3-for-23 lifetime, but has found a very good spot today from the rail while
making his 2024 debut. He’s effective on both surfaces and tries dirt today vs.
a very soft field. If he’s ready off the layoff for talented trainer Brittany
Vanden Berg, he’ll be tough to beat with Felix in the saddle.
Race 8:
9 – 1 – 2
The last race today
is a real puzzler. So much so, that I’ve decided to hit the “all-ball” in the
Late Pick 4. And because it’s wide-open, I need to find a price, and that horse
will be #9 Money Agent (8-1). Even though the 4yo colt is stepping up in
class from $6,250 to $20k, those cheaper races were on dirt. He’s been much
more effective/faster on turf however, and has never faced this low a level on
the grass. If he gets a good trip/ride, he has a big shot to upset the well-balanced
field.