« 11/17/2022 11/19/2022 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri November 18th, 2022

Download as PDF

Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:53 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Sure Wasn't Me - 5/2 6 Happy Sails - 8/5 3 Pretty in Prado - 7/2

Not a great bunch to open the card but also very little in the way of early speed in here either. Sure Wasn't Me should be able to clear and the cooler temps lead to a speed-favoring strip.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 3:17 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Mind Your Own Biz - 6/1 6 Ride Richie Ride - 5/2 4 Krewe Chief - 3/1

Pace makes the race once again in this spot. A short field and the inside horse has the speed. an inside speed bias could be the great equalizer as others are dropping in class. Ride Richie Ride looks tough, but take into regard the claim of this one out of its last race was voided as the horse did not pass the post race vet inspection.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:42 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Never Have I Ever [IRE] - 4/1 2 Jack Van Berg - 6/1 7 Sierra Hotel - 8/1

This race will be off the turf and contested on the main track. If Never Have I Ever stays in, this is the fastest horse to the front and has the potential to wire the field. If he scratches, Jack Van Berg is tough, but the turn of foot may not be the same as shown by his lack of finish last out.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 4:09 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Dolly's Line - 4/1 8 Runaway A. Train - 5/2 2 Sheza Savage - 3/1

After a brutal trip the first time out, Dolly's Line ran her expected race in her last. Expect that she's quick enough to clear early and should contend the entire way under Santiago.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 5:00 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Just Right Mike - 4/1 6 Valley Vista - 9/2 3 Christmas Present - 5/2

Last time out Just Right Mike got hooked into a speed duel and was the one who couldn't sustain the battle for the lead. Things don't appear to be nearly as contentious upfront in here which could allow for him to settle on the lead and catch a bit of a breather.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 5:29 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Midnight's Girl - 5/2 8 It's Greek to Me - 7/2 5 Beg Borrow N Steal - 6/1

There appears to be a decent amount of pace in this race. With what looks to be a battle I'm hoping Midnight's Girl takes back a bit and tuck in just behind the early pace.  She was sent away as the favorite in a start at Santa Anita last out and does come in with a work over the track as she turns back in distance.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 5:59 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Promising Shoes - 5/1 7 Danville - 7/2 8 Pistol Box - 6/1

Promising Shoes ran a big race first off the claim last out and now takes the perfect class drop today. There looks to be enough pace to chase in here as he will just have to save some ground early and look to rally in the lane.

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 6:29 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Richiesgotswagger - 9/2 11 Outrun the Posse - 15/1 12 Little Mighty Man - 7/2

Richiesgotswagger held his own while facing much tougher last time out. The class relief helps along with a field where the pace should be contested upfront and come back to the field. Look for him to get the jump on the late closers in here.