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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun November 20th, 2022

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:53 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Coal Town Road - 7/5 5 Uncle Dick - 3/1 4 The Last Fact - 4/1

Tough to pick Coal Town Road because he will be such a short price but tough to pick against too as there aren't any others that look to challenge. He has speed, draws the inside, the track should favor speed and he runs for a barn having a solid meet. It looks like he should be able to clear the lead and never look back.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 3:17 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Yak - 9/5 1 Unbroken Song - 6/1 5 Tallestofthetall - 5/2

The pace in this race has the potential to be a crawl as nobody in here is committed to the front. Yak has improved with each start this meet and looks to be sitting on a win. He rated close in his last and could potentially inherit the lead in here.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 4:08 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Rank and File - 4/1 1 Queen's Mission - 5/1 2 Superstar Diva - 7/2

It's a quick return but Rank and File merits a look as she comes off a good effort just a week ago. After tossing her head early she closed well late. With some pace along the inside, maybe she tucks in just behind the early leaders and runs on in the lane.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:32 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
11 Scarlet City - 7/2 6 Nyoman - 5/2 4 Tale of the Nile - 6/1

The post isn't great but with the long run down the backstretch I expect Scarlet City finds a good spot heading into the turn. He switches surface and turns back in distance as he has grabbed a couple of wins at three quarters already in his career.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 5:01 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Gypsy Wife - 6/1 5 She's Xtremely Hot - 3/1 6 Embarrassing - 5/2

Not sure if Gypsy Wife is good enough but the move from an open $12,500 claimer to a conditioned $6,250 spot is a significant class drop. She comes in with a couple of good works over the track as she makes he second start off a ten month layoff. Maybe she steps up at a price.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 5:28 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Vitale - 5/2 2 Baba's Boy - 4/1 1 Andthethunderrolls - 3/1

Liking the move off the claim here for Martinez as Vitale steps back up in a spot that isn't super tough for this level. He has enough speed to clear from the outside and may be able to back things down on the front end. 

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 5:58 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Megan's Honor - 5/2 3 Magic Castle - 9/2 1 Gita's Lad - 7/2

The top two selections are the only ones with speed in here as Megan's Honor appears to be the fastest to the front. He was game while stretching in distance last time out and is likely to improve in his second straight around two turns.

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 6:28 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Storm's Reflection - 9/2 1 Jacks Spring Break - 9/5 8 Frisco Line - 7/2

Very little in regards to early pace in this race as Storm's Reflection looks to try to clear the lead and wire this field. He took a shot at Churchill last out but that was likely too tough. The return to Hawthorne and class drop could make the difference today.