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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat February 25th, 2023

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Stakes Spotlight

Oaklawn Park Race 10

Post Time 4:43 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Wet Paint - 7/2 11 Olivia Twist - 15/1 3 Grand Love - 3/1 8 Defining Purpose - 9/2

Weather may prove to be a factor as there is a chance of rain on Saturday at Oaklawn. The track condition also could be huge in the outcome of this race. A wet track surely boosts the hopes of 7-WET PAINT as she comes off a strong victory over a wet, sealed track in her last at Oaklawn. She gets the same distance in here, runs for an incredibly hot barn of Brad Cox and Prat returns to ride. The pace setup ahead of her should be perfect as well as she looks to stalk and pounce in the lane. Thinking the linemaker missed on 11-OLIVIA TWIST as she was laid at 15-1 in here. She was the 2-1 second choice in the Martha Washington in her last. She showed speed in that spot before tiring but the wet track may not have been to her liking. If the rain stays away she may move way up in here. 3-GRAND LOVE is another that could push things along on the front end as she makes her first start of 2023. There may be some distance questions that need to be answered as she tired in both starts around two turns at two. Her workouts have been strong and consistent leading toward her return but she may be overbet and could need a start. 8-DEFINING PURPOSE is much along the lines of Olivia Twist in here as she could also move up on a dry track. She was sent off as the Even money choice in the Martha Washington and ran a respectable race. She has some tactical speed and is worthy of another look.