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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:30 PM CST
5-MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE probably SHOULD win this but there’s
no guarantee that he will. He’s been primarily a turf runner, seven of his
eight wins came on grass, but this 10-year-old has had some decent dirt efforts
including a third place finish the last, and only, time he ran at this level. 2-NOT
VFERY GENTLE ran well to finish second in last while making his first start of the
meet. He also finished second in his final race of 2022. Should be better
prepared in his second race of the year. Might be able to beat top choice. The
track seemed to be playing a bit more fairly yesterday but speed could still be
the deciding factor. 6-COSMIC TREASURE does look like the best of the speed. His
last three races were in the mud, he has three wins in six off-track races, and
we just might get enough rain to help him out.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:57 PM CST
5-CALICO JOE has had a couple breaks in training one his
way back to the races but his recent drills have been good. He hasn’t raced
since July but his barn knows how to bring them back ready. Like that he is a
waiver claim suggesting the barn doesn’t want to lose him. 7-STAN THE CAMERMAN
fought hard for the lead early in last and built up a daylight lead but came up
just a neck shy at the finish. He looks like he could be the best of the speed
in this race but not sure the extra furlong will suit him since he tends to run
out of gas. 4-SUPER CITRO battled “Stan” in last. He faded far more than his
opponent but that was also the first race of his career. Could show a little
more staying power in this one.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:24 PM CST
2-TEE BURNS isn’t an overwhelming choice but he has been
a consistent competitor throughout his career. He’s as quick as any in here and
he is able to maintain that speed throughout. 3-SNOWMOBILE has had six races.
Four of them were terrible. He won the other two. His two wins came on off
tracks. The other race surfaces were dry. Connections must be praying for rain.
6-RACARINO won his last two but those victories were 11 months apart. So, we
know he can run well off layoffs so the six weeks between this race and his
last shouldn’t bother him at all.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:51 PM CST
Could this be the day? 6-DASH TO THE CASH has had some
many good races that it’s hard to explain why he’s still a maiden. But maybe
this will be the day that all ends. He should relish the slightly longer
distance though I think six and a half would be even better for him. There
should be enough speed to set up for this fast finisher. Can fly by. 4-A P
BLAZING GREEN set the early pace in his start of the meet and is likely to do
so again. He ran out of gas late in that race but it was his first start in
seven months. This race is longer but he should be fitter. 7-SILVER CHILLER is
eligible to improve. He raced evenly in his career debut and managed to split
the field. Experience helps. Could show more this time.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:18 PM CST
8-HEAVENLY TRIP could surprise. His recent races at
Turfway weren’t much but he was far better when racing on dirt. He was claimed
from last and he returns to a dirt track. He owns good speed and races for
sharp connections. Might try to wire them. 1-BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER hasn’t had a
lot of luck in sprints but he displayed good speed in his last two routes
before tiring late. The turn back in distance should leave him with plenty left
for the stretch drive. 2-HATCHET CREEK just missed in a multiple-horse photo. He
does own good speed but he’s just as capable when coming off the pace.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:45 PM CST
7-APOLLO U ANYWHERE could be the quickest of these. She
tired badly in the mud in last but she was facing starter allowance company.
She did wire the fields that last two times she ran for a nickel. Could carry
her speed all the way with the drop in class. 5-SNOOTY did everything but win
in last. She chased front runner First Squadron throughout in last, seldom more
than a half length back, but had to settle for second…a half length back. She’ll
could be chasing another speedy runner in this spot and might get the same kind
of trip. Not really sure what to do with 8-NO NANNETTE NO. She has raced almost
entirely on synthetic tracks, other than a terrible dirt race to start her
career. She doesn’t even have dirt drills to show if she can handle this track.
On the other hand, she’ll be racing for this sharp barn for the first time and
she’s dropping in class.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:12 PM CST
2-VALIANTLY
DISCREET does tend to tire late but once again he appears to be the best speed
in the race though he could face early pressure from Russian Alphabet, a runner
that had just broken his maiden in low-level maidens. “Discreet” does tend to
tire late but this is his third race of the meet and he should be at the top of
his game. 1-MODAZZLE is hard to gauge. All his races have been on Gulfstream’s
synthetic track. He ran well enough in many of those starts but until he does
it, you don’t know how he’ll fare on dirt. 4-VERRAZANOINTHESKY has to be
considered. This versatile runner showed little in his first race of the meet
but he did have traffic trouble. Deserves another chance.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 5:39 PM CST
2-DREAM KEEPER has been plagued by frequent layoffs but
his barn always has him ready to race. This speedy gelding might be able to
grab a fairly easy lead in this spot. He finished 10 lengths back in his first
start of the meet after leading much of the way but that was still good enough
for second place. With a recent race behind him, he might be ready to take it
all the way. 5-BANDIT SWANSON owns decent speed but probably not enough to
tackle top choice early. But he does finish well. He finished a length behind
Dream Keeper in his first start of the meet but might be able to pass that
runner late, especially if that rival faces much early pressure. Like the way
1-SILVER QUARTERS has been working toward his first start of the year. He has
been at his best on turf and this might only be a prep for the upcoming turf
season but he is capable of finishing with a rush.
Hawthorne Race 9
Post Time 6:06 PM CST
9-FROST WARRIOR, with second-place finishes in her last
two starts, looks like the one to beat but only because the rest of her rivals
are in poor form. She’s been trying to earn her second win for a long time and
there’s certainly no guarantee that she’ll do it today. 2-QUEEN OF THE NORTH
might be the one to beat. She got claimed from last and makes her local debut.
Her speed figures are higher than those of her rivals but those “figs” don’t always
transfer well from track-to-track and surface-to-surface, thought that is one
of their main purposes. We’ll see. 7-OCEAN HONEY, another recent claim,
finished second in her local debut but up the track in her last. She could
bounce back in her first start for this barn.

