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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun July 30th, 2023

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Frosted Temptation 6 Uncaptured Dream 7 Black Russian

On the class drop alone, 2-FROSTED TEMPTATION has to be given consideration. This barn gave him a couple of shots in races taken off the turf against better and he ran decent races. In here I expect he rates close early and takes over in the lane. 6-UNCAPTURED DREAM has speed but is overdue for the maiden score. Three straight runner-up efforts put him in the mix once again as we will see if he can grab a win today. 7-BLACK RUSSIAN could be a bit of a sleeper as he has chased Uncaptured Dream in his last three. He may get enough pace to chase as he figures to run on late.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 2:57 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Dance Some Mo 7 Follow the Signs 6 Freddy J

Turn back to the sprint in here for 4-DANCE SOME MO as this runner has some back class and has run well in a couple of starts this meet. At the sprint distance I expect he sits back a bit early but should come charging in the lane. 7-FOLLOW THE SIGNS is at his best on the grass but has been unlucky with numerous recent races coming off the turf. He has some tactical speed but is taking a bit of a jump in class today. 6-FREDDY J shipped in for his last and rallied for a good second place effort in that spot. He returns off a very fast drill and looked primed for a top performance.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:24 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Slava Ukraini 3 Minnesota Moon 2 Sharp Az Nails

The class relief may be all that is needed for 4-SLAVA UKRANI as he has faced tougher in recent starts. He chased late into the lane in his last and didn't give way until the final 70 yards. I expect he rates closer early in here and should be in the mix the entire way. 3-MINNESOTA MOON was a good winner last out as he sat just off the pace and took over into the final turn before holding on for the win. He should be in a similar position in here with the chance to pounce at the top of the lane. 2-SHARP AZ NAILS is another taking the class drop as he makes his second start around two turns. He has some speed but with others who can show speed in here, he may be relegated to rating off the pace.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:18 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Cowgirl Frankie 8 Summer Day 4 R Katiebug

The turf tries have been solid out of 7-COWGIRL FRANKIE as she gets back on the grass once again. She looks to get enough pace to chase in this race as she should be able to settle back and wait to move into the lane. 8-SUMMER DAY is going to take her share of action as she was a heavy favorite in her last two turf tries. She has enough speed to rate a bit closer early but needs to show a bit more finishing kick. 4-R KATIEBUG is lightly raced but figures to be a part of the early pace as she stretches out today. It was a game maiden score followed by a respectable race against open company. Let's see if she takes to the grass.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 4:45 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Win the Cup 6 Black Raven 9 Power Alley

The Illinois-bred faces open company on debut as 5-WIN THE CUP seems to be well intended for Becker. He gets Lasix for the debut and comes in with a bullet drill. Expect to see some speed from him at first asking. 6-BLACK RAVEN rated and rallied late last out as he will hope for some pace to chase. He's well-bred and looks to have a good upside as he should take his share of action. 9-POWER ALLEY comes in off a good effort in the slop at Belterra last out. He had a ton of late kick but ran out of real estate in that race. This distance could suit him nicely today.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 5:12 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Get N Tipsy 10 Embarrassing 7 Stacy Attack

Chance to catch a price in here as 8-GET N TIPSY looks to get back on the grass. She ran a better race at Indy in her last and has enough tactical speed to rate close in a race that doesn't have a ton of pace. 10-EMBARRASSING is at her best on the turf as well as she drops back down a notch for this race. The outside draw shouldn't affect her much as she figures to drop in early and wait to move until the final turn. 7-STACY ATTACK is the pace of the race. The question for her will be the distance. Look for her to scamper away early and try to wire the field in here.