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Wed August 16th, 2023 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:30 PM CST
7-EVEN THE WIND seems most likely. He finished in the
money in all three Hawthorne starts, finally getting as high as second in last.
He doesn’t sport a big closing move but he might be able to wear down these
rivals. 4-ICE SHARD has to figure. He has only managed to run on turf once, his
other two scheduled turf races were moved to the main track, but he finished
second in that one race and finished ahead of Even the Wind in that spot. 6-DAPPER
DUDE moves up off the claim. However, he arguably ran better than any in here
and finished second by a rapidly-diminishing head. He’s back in only six days,
which could be a cause for concern, but he has to be given the benefit of the
doubt.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:57 PM CST
Interesting race featuring many droppers. But, we are
nearing the end of the meet and the “For Sale” sign will be out on many runners
for the next three weeks. Really don’t know if 5-SANTINO’S FANTASY is fast
enough but from a pure pace standpoint, he looks like the only runner in here
that doesn’t want the early lead. If the plethora of front runners tire
themselves fighting for the lead, he could set sail late. 2-TIMEHASCOME is the
most logical front runner. He wired the field the last time he ran at this
level and has raced competitively against better since then. 6-RIVZONAROLL drops
to his lowest level ever. He’s one of many in here with speed. He’s been tiring
late but might hang on better at this level.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:24 PM CST
2-MOMENT could get back on the winning track. Speedy
runner has been meeting superior speed in his last few but figures to put away
the other speed runners in this spot and still be able to finish with something
left. 6-DANVILLE is another top contender. He’s another in great form. Hasn’t
finished out of the money all year, with wins in three of his eight starts. But
he has yet to beat top choice. 3-GLOBAL EMPIRE could get the trip. He’s been in
good form for months. Winner of last against allowance company will be tracking
the pace once again. Could surge past them all late.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:51 PM CST
4-CHICKS FOR FREE gets a slight nod. He ran well in last
to finish third and might have been moving fastest of all late in that race
that was a sixteenth shorter. There’s a good chance he would have won at today’s
distance. But, there’s another member of this field that also finished fast and
he was a length and a half ahead of this runner at the finish. 5-IDEA MAN was
the runner that finished second to Chicks For Free’s third. He also came running
late and he lost that shorter race by only a half length. However, his regular
rider in that spot apparently chose a different runner for this race. 1-SOUPER
FORTUNE drops and turns back in distance. He won the last time he ran at this
distance and the last two times he raced against runners somewhat similar to
these. Colon chose to ride him instead of Idea Man. It could be an interesting
finish.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:18 PM CST
Don’t know if 5-MOM’S CHANNEL is a standout in here but
she ran well under pressure in her career debut and held for third. That race
was on dirt but she has an outstanding turf pedigree. Not sure this race will
stay on the lawn after all the rain the last few days but we already know she
can run well on dirt. Guessing she’ll be tough either way. 1-RUMBRANDT wasn’t
going to beat that $500k runner in her career debut but she ran well enough to
finish third. Think she’s another that might be better on the lawn. In any
case, experience helps and she doesn’t seem likely to run into any whirlwinds
in this race. Figures at a price. 6-BLAMELESS GHOST is making her debut.
Well-bred runner should take to any surface and she races for a barn that knows
how to get their babies ready to run well at first asking. 2-KENWICK is another
with a brilliant pedigree and good drills. She’s shipping in for this race.
However, her barn’s runners don’t often win with first timers. Of course, she
can always be the exception.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:45 PM CST
8-ARCH FLYER has been in pretty good form. She had a win
and three seconds from her last five starts. She owns good speed but think her
ability to lay off the pace a bit makes her tougher in this spot. 7-APOLLO U
ANYWHERE could be the best of the speed. She folded late in last after fighting
for the lead but maybe she can escape on the lead today. 5-LITTLE BELLA
finished third of four in last but she was making her first start in well over
two years. On her best day, she would probably be the quickest of these but she’s
taking blinks off for this race and might try to track the pace. Can surprise
late.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:12 PM CST
2-PROTONIC POWER is a slim pick. But the pace of this
race should set up perfectly for him and he runs well on turf or the main
track. However, he’s making his eighth start of the year without a win so he’s
obviously vulnerable. 1-SAILING SOLO would have been a stone cold lock in a
race like this in 2020 and maybe even in 2021. However, he had only one race
last year and he’s only making his third start of this year. He loves the front
end but not sure he’ll be able to put away all the other speed in this race. 8-CAPTIVATING
MOON is another likely to finish fast with all the speed ahead of him in this
spot. He finished behind top choice in last but ahead of that rival in their
prior two meetings.

