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Thu August 24th, 2023 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 4:45 PM CST
This might not be a “gimme” race for 2-BLUE NEITH but it
seems to come close. She’s had 15 turf races, winning two and coming close in
most of the others. This speedy filly might face some early pressure but this
shorter sprint/route could be perfect for her. Makes her local and barn debut.
It could be a winning one. 5-SPIRIT CATCHER just scored her first turf victory.
Her speed figures suggest that she could be as fast as top choice but she comes
from far back and there might not be enough speed to set up for that kind of
late run. 7-LORRAINE'S LEGACY is interesting. She showed little in her lone
turf race, running for a barn that specializes in turf runners, but she did
generate a competitive speed figure in that spot. Got claimed from a winning
dirt effort in last. Her new barn does well with their claims. Might be able to
surprise with this one.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 5:15 PM CST
Not in love with 4-RIBBONSINHERHAIR but she did finish
second in her local debut and she beat most of her current rivals in that
effort. Could be even stronger after getting a race over the track. 6-STYLE
finished third in last two. She was only a half length behind top choice at the
finish and might have been moving even better. Maybe she’ll get by all of them
late. 5-I DON’T KNOW MARGO might be the quickest member of this field. She
seldom makes the lead but there isn’t much other speed in here. Might grab
quick control.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 5:45 PM CST
2-MAN ON ATTACK could win at a square price. He has shown
some turf talent in his two races on this surface. He does own decent speed but
think he’s more likely to attack late with all the other speed in this field. 5-COOL
AND COLLECTED is hard to figure. He showed absolutely nothing in his debut, on
turf, but came back six weeks later to wire the field, again on turf. It’s been
about another month since that race and he’s had one useful drill since. He’s
not the only speed in this field. We’ll see what happens if he gets pressured
early. 6-COMING UP ACES hasn’t won in a couple years but he is the only one in
here with two turf scores, he closes well at times. And he’s moving back into Illinois
breds.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 6:15 PM CST
4-EMITYAZZ had had three races at this meet and had legitimate
excuses in all three. She made her turf debut in her local debut, was in too
tough in her second, and was in too tough in a race that was too short in her
last. She’s finally in the right spot. Should awaken. 7-SHADOW BELLE is likely
to be sent right to the lead. She typically sprints but the last time they
stretched her out she won in near wire-to-wire fashion. She seems to be
rounding back into form. Might lead all the way. 3-MARIA’S GIFT figures
prominently. She might not be quite as quick as Shadow Belle but she does own
good route speed and she’s coming off two straight seconds at this level and
distance.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 6:45 PM CST
9-WANDA STRONG has been in great form this year. She won
only once but all four of her races have been sharp. She missed by a nose in
last after a troubled trip and if that race had been at today’s distance, she
probably would have won. 6-SAKE ships in to try our turf. She’s had some great
races and some there were not. Her lone win came at a minor French track in
2021. She’s likely meeting easier here than she has been facing but that’s not
a guarantee that she’ll do much better. Not sure 3-R KATIEBUG will turn out to
be as good as her older sisters but she does appear to be on her way to a good
career. She missed by a vanishing head in last, her first turf race, and she’s
another that might do even better with the extra sixteenth of real estate. Don’t
ignore 1-I’M BOX OFFICE. She has shown considerable improvement this year over
last. She finished third, a couple lengths behind top pick in last but she did
have stretch trouble and had to overcome that to regain her momentum. She’s a
very real threat.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 7:15 PM CST
1-MADELYN BELLE looks tough. She broke her maiden on dirt
versus Illinois breds two starts back and then took on and beat open company on
the lawn. She’s back on dirt and back in state breds for this. Could extend her
win streak to three. 3-LOVEYOULIKECRAZY wired the field to break her maiden in
last. Don’t think she’s quite as quick as top choice but she’s likely to be
chasing that filly all the way around in close proximity. 6-COWGIRL FRANKIE could
get the ideal pace ahead of her if the top pair and one or two others in here
lock up in a speed duel.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 7:45 PM CST
Interesting race. Certainly no standouts in here. But like
the way 8-GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN finished in last. The race was obviously too short
for her but she was making up ground late. Worried that she might display more
speed with the stretch out but if her rider can get her to relax in the early
going, she might be able to run by them all late. 1-FIRST HILL has had some
competitive efforts and her speed figures suggest that she’s the one that should
win this. 2-APPLE EVER AFTER hasn’t shown much but she’s another taking on a
somewhat easier group. Could be racing right off the pace. 3-GOLD OAK should
have little trouble grabbing the early lead. She seems far quicker than the
rest. However, she’s been running out of gas in short sprints. Not sure she’ll
last the distance on the lead.

