« 08/30/2023 09/01/2023 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu August 31st, 2023

Download as PDF

Ron's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 Uncaptured Dream - 8/5 1 I'm Your Captain - 9/2 6 Fabricator - 3/1

3-UNCAPTURED DREAM should be tough. He’s been in great form since early June with a maiden win and a narrow loss in his first start against winners. His speed figures stand out. Should exit this meet on a winning note. 1-I’M YOUR CAPTAIN didn’t handle the turf or the company in last but he did finish second in his previous start, the only time he has raced at this level. He’s a bit quicker than top choice but not sure he’ll be able to hold that runner off late. 6-FABRICATOR was just claimed. Comes right back at the same level. He looks like one of the few in here likely to make a late run. Could get close.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 2:57 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
8 Beehive - 5/1 1 Querendona - 5/1 4 There She Goes - 4/1 5 Devil - 7/2

8-BEEHIVE just missed in her career debut. Not sure if a poor start cost her the win but that race should have set up a solid foundation for her. She was well regarded going into that first race. Could make amends for her backers in this one. 1-QUERENDONA’s drills are better than they look. She’s been popping solid morning efforts while working at one of the top racetracks, and facing some of the top horses, in the country. 4-THERE SHE GOES is another whose works are worth noting. Her barn doesn’t always work them fast and she has been quicker than many. 5-DEVIL, stablemate of top choice, ran well in both starts. She finished behind Beehive in last but she might own better speed and speed wins most of the races around here.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:24 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Wilma Mankiller - 9/5 5 Viola - 4/1 1 Mysweetannalyze - 5/1

2-WILMA MANKILLER might not be a lock but she does appear to be among the quicker members of this field. She ran away from a good group in last and did it with ease. Think she could have a tougher time today but the outcome could be the same. 5-VIOLA has only the one race, one win to her credit but she looked impressive in that victory. Also, that race was contested on turf. There’s no guarantee that she’ll display the same kind of late run with the switch to dirt but, if she does like the surface, she should find the longer distance of this race to her liking. 1-MYSWEETANAYYZE has been ignored in both of her races but she proceeded to win both of them. Her speed figures seem to lag behind those of some in here but it’s hard to argue with success.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 3:51 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Katie M'lady - 4/5 4 Journeyist - 4/1 6 White Lies - 6/1

2-KATIE M’LADY is the highweight in this contest but, in reality, she might be able to carry me and still win. She raced primarily on turf but she is three-for-three this year, including a dirt stakes score, and she has been victorious in seven of her 12 career races, along with four second-place finishes. Shouldn’t get caught. 4-JOURNEYIST, stablemate of top choice, seems to be the only one with a glimmer of hope to beat top choice. She hasn’t been quite as hot, she only one her last two, but she was narrowly beaten in her previous three starts. 6-WHITE LIES seeks to end her career on a winning note. She regained some of her old form in last and came on late to score in an open allowance. The move back to state breds and what could be an even better pace might set things up for her again.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:18 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 Sweet Little Lisa - 3/1 5 Bali Baby - 2/1 4 Crystal Snow - 5/1

1-SWEET LITTLE LISA, fresh off a maiden score. Could be tough. She finished second in her debut, on turf, and was entered for turf in her subsequent starts but both races were moved to the main track. She is bred for the lawn, however. She’s been off five weeks with only the one drill but know she’ll be ready. 5-BALI BABY looks like the only one capable of beating top choice. She just missed in a far tougher race than anything “Lisa” has faced so far. If she runs the way she did in last, she might be the first to cross the wire. 4-CRYSTAL SNOW could contest the lead. She led most of the way in her last two and came up just a little short. The shorter distance of this race could work in her favor.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 4:45 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 Stopshoppingamy - 5/2 5 Free Love - 9/2 4 Timeless Glory - 6/1

3-STOPSHOPPINGAMY just missed. She’s moving up in claiming price but might be meeting a little easier than she has been facing under the conditions of this race. She went off as the heavy odds-on favorite in that race. Guessing she makes amends at another short price. 5-FREE LOVE could turn out to be the best of the speed despite the turn back in distance. She’s been tiring while meeting better but she wired the field, in a sprint, the last time she took on low-level claimers. Could try to do it again. 4-TIMELESS GLORY is another turning back. She won two of her last three starts running on or near the lead but figures to come off the pace a bit today.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 5:12 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
8 Money Agent - 12/1 9 Border Patrol - 4/1 10 Even the Wind - 3/1 7 Regimental - 6/1

Going to take a flyer with 8-MONEY AGENT. I know they were high on him early in the meet but he must be a head case in the gate since he has so much trouble at the start. Last, however, was his best race yet. They might be getting him under control. Can surprise. The two trained by Chris Block, 9-BORDER PATROL and 10-EVEN THE WIND, both figure prominently. Border Patrol finished third here in his local debut which was also his first race with Lasix. He could improve from both. Even the Wind ran well in five of his six turf races. He’s likely to be stalking the pace once again. 7-REGIMENTAL comes off his best race yet. He led most of the way and, even after he got passed, he made another run at them.