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Sun September 17th, 2023 |
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Emily's Analysis
Hawthorne Race 1
#4 DAWN OF CREATION turned in a solid effort on 9/10 in
stakes company and coming back from a common race. The race held #1 LULING CITY,
she was not on the level of her competition with a favorable pocket trip and lacking
finish. The change in class and start over the course should assist #6 COAL
CREEK behind open length 1-9 pacesetting winner, Goomster; and similar for #3
MEMORIAL STORM also with the necessary class change.
Hawthorne Race 2
#1 IDEAL’S NICOLE requires a slight move forward though
still recorded a solid effort for the level and in line overall visually with
#3 MY UPTOWN GIRL. The level is noted as #2 LOOK KIMBO takes the rise off the
9/9 win and smart handling from Cordarius Stewart – driver had a strong opening
day.
#6 MARTHA MAX could be overlooked in here as she also
returns from the R5 common race; and while she finished off the board, the
visuals suggest she has more to show and will find a driver change off a less
than ideal trip.
Hawthorne Race 3
#8 SHE’S MAGICAL has a slight edge over #5 TELL THE DREAM
exiting higher conditioned races and SHE’S has been competitive in those events
as well. Rival #3 APPLE VALLEY is not a new face these two met back on July 22nd
without much between them. APPLE VALLEY wheels back from the perfect trip last
week getting the job done as the favorite and will be tested (and could lack
value) today with the slight rise in class and to hold form to pair wins, something
she has struggled with in the past.
#1 FOX VALLEY KIA returns from a solid race for the level
and setting the faster pace tracked by a solid winner, Fox Valley Leah.
Hawthorne Race 4
#6 FOX VALLEY JULIAN looks as a legit favorite in this race
and will look to pair up wins coming off a dominant effort setting the track
record last Sunday.
#7 SCRAPPY COMINGUP opened up with early money and ran a
game race just getting caught late. #1 MOOSS TRAX has been significantly overmatched
coming into this race and his efforts might not hold an edge over his rivals,
he fits right in line with them and should find himself more competitive at
this level.
Hawthorne Race 5
#3 FOX VALLEY TASHA has been knocking on the door in her
most recent starts and tough to knock on this efforts as she returns in this
spot. In addition, she finished in front of #8 TICKTOCK TICKTOCK on 8/28. Just
to her outside, #4 NAE’S RENDEZVOUS also turned in a solid race last Sunday and
upgraded setting a solid pace on the lead – a pace that assisted the winner, #6
FOX VALLEY TESSA.
#1 SAGE’S SANDSTORM has not been in the right spot to
compete this cycle and finds class relief off a decent run given her abilities
making a middle move on 9/10; the change in class and effort is easier to see
on #2 BIG FLICKA with SAGE’S SANDSTORM projecting to be much longer odds of the
two.
Hawthorne Race 6
#6 STAND BY YOUR MAN expects to be a very short price in
this race and the one to beat.
#ZORA MOON looks to benefit from the class relief last week.
The change in class should also assist #2 ILLINI DIVA, one that had a favorable
trip. C. Stewart stick with her and will see Seekman back aboard #5 ALLY BABA as
she returns from a good effort behind a much the best, Whiskey Lou.
Hawthorne Race 7
The driver change on #2 BLUE DEVIL gives him a look coming
back as he was given no chance right from the start on 9/9. #6 AUNT PERCILLA
looked tough in that common race coming in with the class change out of HOO and
proved that on the track, getting the job done professionally. Looking at the
others from the 9/9 common race: #5 LOULITA showed more than #1 LOUZOTIC
visually and checks with what shows on paper.
Hawthorne Race 8
#1 FOX VALLEY REEVA earned a follow on 8/16 when she broke
stride at a time she was making a move and appeared she could have had an
impact on the outcome. She returned here on 9/9 and validated herself and moves
up in this race she takes on 2yo today, a change from facing older last week.
The driver change is key on #6 YANKEES PARY as she was never
given a change and expects to show more in here.
#2 UNHYNGED ZENZERO was close to a fast second ¼ last Sunday
and one of a group taking a drop (upgrade #4 PLATINUM SHARK on the drop) to run
in this race including her rival from that race, #3 FIESTY VAL turning in a
average race though an effort better than #5 ITTY BITTY SECRET.
Hawthorne Race 9
#1 SILVERSTONE turned in a BTL effort despite the DQ given
the overall visuals and wide trip. #6 ERNIE THE MOOSS was game all around closing
on lone winner, Dash Around, and given a look right back today under similar
conditions. #5 FRANKIEPARK was part of the incident along with ground loss and projects
to improve here. A similar projection can be made for #8 YEAHBOYYEAH had
traffic trouble that seemed to get ignored.
#7 VINNY LOU takes a different approach into this race from
the others in the R10 common race and off a competitive effort against a higher
class (R12) last Saturday – he moves up naturally in today’s event.
Hawthorne Race 11
#8 FREEDOM’S PLAYBOY is logical coming back from a solid
effort and gained group on Gorgeous Big Boy after the wire. #5 FOX VALLEY
KODIAK comes out of the same common race and earned a follow with a sneaky BTL
effort in his own right.
Sun September 17th, 2023 |
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Jim's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Hawthorne Race 2
Hawthorne Race 3
Hawthorne Race 4
Hawthorne Race 5
Hawthorne Race 6
Hawthorne Race 7
Hawthorne Race 8
Hawthorne Race 9
Hawthorne Race 10
Hawthorne Race 11
Hawthorne Race 12
Hawthorne Race 13
Sun September 17th, 2023 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
6-COAL CREEK-Dropper can wire them
4-DAWN OF CREATION-Filly can beat the boys
1-LULING CITY-In tuff but likes to win
Hawthorne Race 2
5-SKEETER MACHINE-Shipper been meeting better
4-SILVERSHOE CHIXY-Pretty quick; catch me
3-MY UPTOWNE GIRL-Just 2nd against similar
Hawthorne Race 3
6-SHE’S MAGICAL-Indy shipper can dominate
4-FOX VALLEY EXPLOIT-Always been so good here
3-APPLE VALLEY-Won last here; always a threat
Hawthorne Race 4
6-FOX VALLEY JULIAN-Seems fastest by far
2-SUPER SHARK-Monster at the fairs; maybe different here
3-CATATONIC IGUANA-Has speed; maybe a chance with these
Hawthorne Race 5
8-TICKTOCK TICKTOCK-Gunning for them late
3-FOX VALLEY TASHA-Never a bad start
4-NAE’S RENDEZVOUS-Been close most every race
Hawthorne Race 6
6-STAND BY YOUR MAN-Two for two; wins continue
1-ZORA MOON-May never relinquish lead
5-ALLY BABY-Improved with Lasix
Hawthorne Race 7
6-AUNT PERCILLA-Moves up but can win right back
4-REIGN AND SHINE-Last was too tough; fits well here
5-LOULITA-Perpetual threat but just doesn’t win
Hawthorne Race 8
2-UNHYNGED ZENSERO-Comes off best effort yet
1-FOX VALLEY REEVA-Last two say ready
5-ITTY BITTY SECRET-Could be best of the rest
Hawthorne Race 9
7-VINNY LOU-Last showed promise
1-SILVERSTONE-Needed trip over the track
4-SUPER TACO-Won last three at fairs
Hawthorne Race 9
7-VINNY LOU-Last showed promise
1-SILVERSTONE-Needed trip over the track
4-SUPER TACO-Won last three at fairs
Hawthorne Race 10
1-CLEARCHOICE DE VIE-Dangerous rail speed
9-FOX VALLEY OZZY-Drops from Open; big chance
5-FOX VALLEY MONOCO-Won last; loves Hawthorne
Hawthorne Race 11
2-FREEDOM’S PLAYBOY-Like the way he finished in debut
9-JOY IN MUDVILLE-Flies late; can take it
3-RED HOT SKY- Local debut wasn’t bad
Hawthorne Race 12
1-CRIMINAL RECORD-Impressive in local qualifier
10-FOX VALLEY CARLIN-Poor post but meets easier
5-CAVIART RICHMOND-Decent speed last couple
Hawthorne Race 13
4-DANDY’S SHOWTIME-Good here last year; won his last 2
5-FRISKY JOLIE-Faces considerably easier
6-ROLLNROZ-Dropper sent to the lead