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Mon November 13th, 2023 |
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Emily's Analysis
Hawthorne Race 1
#5 WILAMAR SPARK lost their race at the start and showed interest late despite the line and finishing position. C. Stewart was in the bike last week and sticks with #7 AINT NO MOJO after their dominant effort last week and the big test will be the repeat, as that is required to win.
Going back to 10/29 #8 LOUZOTIC was in against a higher class and going back to some efforts earlier this season, those races stack up on par.
Hawthorne Race 2
#5 WESTERN ERA looks placed for the win on this circuit and class change. His current form has been consistent with numbers and times that make him the one to beat in this race.
Hawthorne Race 3
#4 MARSHALL MALONE held his own at this level last week and that could be the edge coming back today.
Going back to last Sunday, #2 HELLO SWEETIE BOY was dominant on the front end, though the type of effort that could see regression off of. #3 ROCKIN PULSE has been able to hold their form this season and was favored in that common race.
Hawthorne Race 4
Both #5 WILD ROSA and #6 BOMBAY PARKWAY come back from strong efforts in the 11/6 common race, a race against some tougher rivals than they will face here.
Hawthorne Race 5
#1 VINNY LOU is overdue for the win and returns today at a level where he can do just that and draws inside with regular driver, C. Stewart again. #2 LYONS COPPERTOP might have required the start and local experience to move forward here. Sophomore #5 FOX VALLEY STEELER finds a subtle change in class and should hold his own in this group.
Hawthorne Race 6
#3 LULING CITY was in tougher during this meet earlier this season and has held her form since, form that should transfer here. A group return from the common race last week and while the draw could be tough #8 BAMA LOU with a BTL effort on 11/5 is also tough to dismiss coming back this week.
Hawthorne Race 7
#8 PONDA ADVENTURE looks like a legit favorite coming into this race for top connections. He has some versatility in terms of working a trip and that could be key with many in here that have had recent success on or near the lead. #7 ANNA'S LUCKY STAR was successful on the lead back on 10/8 though showed versatility with a BTL off-the-pace last week behind lone winner, Perlucky.
Hawthorne Race 8
C. Stewart taking over on #7 RUMBLEINTHEVALLEY looks live and going back to the races here earlier this season and at the level was competitive and near wins on two occasions.
#1 ZENA LOU turned in a "winning" type effort last week, however had to settle for place behind a Aint No Mojo recording a new top. #10 ITS SWAN TIME was dominant on 10/29 though not always the most consistent and value could lack in this group and with the draw.
Hawthorne Race 9
#9 DANDY'S SHOWTIME made a strong close against a slightly higher group and that form should continue to hold here. Stablemate #10 FILLISTER PHOTO had some subtle trips back in October (including common race with DANDY'S SHOWTIME) and has shown progression with each race. #4 JD'S QUEEN LORI has been holding her form this season and improving with the local starts.

