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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat January 13th, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Oaklawn Park Race 9

Post Time 4:22 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

MOCKINGBIRD STAKES:

#5 DIVINE GIRL looking to make three in a row as she worked through the N1X allowance condition into this stakes race. She has shown class overcoming the poor start on debut and recovering to get the win after getting shuffled back between horses early on.  Perhaps the every other pattern came into play for #6 TANYA SHOWERS with a dominant effort breaking her maiden two weeks ago. She has that pattern and timing as the one concern wheeling back today the effort that day makes bet a major player though even her other races keep her in the mix with this field. The timing coming back to take on winner for a second start is noted for #1 MIDSHIPMAN’S DANCE one that appeared well-intended on debut and took money all around and down from the 8-1 ML.

#2 SHARP TUNE is likely to take up the role as the controlling speed in this race. She showed early speed on debut, though was sent hard to the front end and a moderate pace to hold from there. She was off slow in the second start returning from the layoff in October on an off-track before returning in the Fern Creek chasing WIDE on a Fast early pace before losing ground; a flow and track profile upgrade on the day with that trip. That race is noted when looking at competition as many in this event were exiting the  Myrtlewood Stakes, the race #4 XTREME SMOKE SHOW exits and could along with #3 EDISTRUDIS present early speed here.