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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun January 21st, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 3

Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 BIG TROUBLE looks well-intended here and prepared off her works to compete first out. She has been working in company and much the best over her workmates and looks the part of a turf runner that can also handle the sprint distance. She has been working outside her company and trip must be negotiated from the rail. #10 THIS MUST BE LOVE might not look that quick "on paper" though she is. She has been working in hand with today's rider aboard in the morning and like many Rivelli runners would not be surprised to see her on the lead right out of the gate. 

Gulfstream Park Race 2

Post Time 11:39 AM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 ST. SUSAN was scheduled for the turf when she made her debut back on 12/18 racing in the rain/WEATHER. Off the visuals she should move up on the turf and off the trip, a subtle trip showing run in a manner that did not allow for her to show her best. 

#3 KATHERINE THOMAS will reunite with Castellano, her rider from the debut back in the summer at Saratoga. She has trained forwardly down in FL and every bit a turfy-type to build off her first two starts. 

In terms of FTS, #6 PALMETTO FURY, she has been entered twice looking for turf and Cazares has been patiently waiting. This filly was working in company with an older stablemate called Jan's Girl, an allowance type with stakes placings. 

The C. Brown pair is worth a mention as they project to find public attention: #4 GRAYOSH and #8 SEGESTA breezed side by side on 1/13 and overall not much between them, no real knocks but nothing to get excited about especially with SEGESTA projected to be favored. While capable with debut runners, the barn has had limited winners here at GP in the past few seasons. #7 PRISCILLA'S COVE is not one I have seen train, though the barn can pop with a FTS; and did catch #5 RABDAH needed to see more from them. 

Gulfstream Park Race 4

Post Time 12:38 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 OYA THUNDER will find some changes that could prove positive in this third start. As far as class she will find relief from the first two starts, races that produced next out winners. In terms of her efforts, the debut that was sneaky good (public support from 15-1 ML) and second start in traffic unable to compete behind 1-2 open length pacesetting chalk winner, Lucy's Cookie. In addition to the change in class, she will find added ground and based on the STRETCH? visuals should handle that change. I. Ortiz will take over as P. Lopez the rider last month shifts to #4 DREAMY one that has been running the same figures to OYA THUNDER without much improvement at a similar MCL condition. Those same factors are in play for #6 SPANISH GIRL assigned the morning line favorite role and both project to be shorter than OYA THUNDER here. 

Santa Anita Race 3

Post Time 3:33 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 LEADING was GREEN though tipped their hand they have some run and should move forward off the initial experience. In addition, they will find an extra furlong and while the others must prove themselves with that change, this one will run all day (ROUTER/MARATHON) and should not be impacted with a surface switch. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun January 21st, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Analysis by Jim Miller
3 M's Magic 4 Lion Virgin 2 Itty Bitty Secret

Hawthorne Race 2

Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Tookadiveoffdipper 1 Street Boy 4 Get E Up

Hawthorne Race 3

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 He'zzz A Wise Sky 2 Round Here Buzz 1 Town Gossip

Hawthorne Race 4

Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Kate's Girl 3 Xena Lou 4 Daisys Duchess

Hawthorne Race 5

Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Kage Daniel 2 Fox Valley Treason 3 Ashlees Silver Guy

Hawthorne Race 6

Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Free On the Beach 1 Fox Valley Monaco 4 Copper Teen

Hawthorne Race 7

Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Trick of the Light 5 Marvelous Marshia 3 Lady Angel

Hawthorne Race 8

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Xena's Foxie 7 Real Slick Chic 3 McWicked Hurricane

Hawthorne Race 9

Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Fox Valley Carlin 9 Sonic Flare 2 Shark Solicitor

Hawthorne Race 10

Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Fox Valley Cayman 1 Fox Valley Gemini 7 Sullenberger

Hawthorne Race 11

Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Cammills Money Man 4 Allegheny Hanover 9 Vinny Lou

Hawthorne Race 12

Analysis by Jim Miller
8 America's Fleet 5 Camwood 7 Silverstone
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun January 21st, 2024

Download as PDF

Ron's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Analysis by Ron Uchman
4 -LION VIRGIN 8 -TODDLE’S POWER 1 -CHASE THE BOUQUET

4-LION VIRGIN-Appreciate current form

8-TODDLE’S POWER-In the money last five

1-CHASE THE BOUQUET-Maybe best speed again

Hawthorne Race 2

Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 -BEN RACING 6 -TOOKADIVEOFFDIPPER 8 -PLAYTOROCK

3-BEN RACING-Ready in 3rd start after layoff

6-TOOKADIVEOFFDIPPER-Almost lasted on lead from far outside

8-PLAYTOROCK-In great form for a long time

Hawthorne Race 3

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -HE’ZZZ A WISE SKY 3 -MACHDAVID 2 -ROUND HERE BUZZ

5-HE’ZZZ A WISE SKY-Puts them away early and keeps going

3-MACHDAVID-Maybe just misses late

2-ROUND HERE BUZZ-Probably 2nd best speed

Hawthorne Race 4

Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 -MARIAH LOU 4 -DAISY’S DUCHESS 7 -KATIE’S GIRL

6-MARIAH LOU-Can surprise if she can stay flat

4-DAISY’S DUCHESS-Better form than the rest

7-KATIE’S GIRL-Just 2nd when dropped to this level

Hawthorne Race 5

Analysis by Ron Uchman
9 -KEY INGREDIANT 7 -KAGE DANIEL 8 -I UNDERSTAND

9-KEY INGREDIANT-Can swoop by late

7-KAGE DANIEL-Won the last time he raced at this level

8-I UNDERSTAND-Consistently comes on late

 

Hawthorne Race 6

Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 -FOX VALLEY MONOCO 3 -FREE ON THE BEACH 4 -COPPER TEEN

1-FOX VALLEY MONOCO-The drop and Casey wakes him up

3-FREE ON THE BEACH-Also drops; beat better 5 races back

4-COPPER TEEN-Another likely to show more at this level

Hawthorne Race 7

Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 -TRICK OF THE LIGHT 3 -LADY ANGEL 5 -MARVELOUS MARSHIA

6-TRICK OF THE LIGHT-Reeled off four straight wins

3-LADY ANGEL-Invader has been meeting some pretty tough company

5-MARVELOUS MARSHIA-Couldn’t catch top pick in last; maybe today

Hawthorne Race 8

Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 -MCWICKED HURRICANE 8 -ICE DANCE 4 -FOX VALLEY BUSTIER

3-MCWICKED HURRICANE-In deep but shows promise

8-ICE DANCE-Might overcome outside post

4-FOX VALLEY BUSTIER-Possibly circles the field

Hawthorne Race 9

Analysis by Ron Uchman
9 -SONIC FLARE 7 -YANKEE ROLLER A 6 -FARMERS ONLY

9-SONIC FLARE-Been red hot this level lately

7-YANKEE ROLLER A-Likely a late longshot threat

6-FARMERS ONLY-Tries to lead throughout

Hawthorne Race 10

Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 -FOX VALLEY GEMINI 4 -FOX VALLEY CAYMAN 7 -SULLENBURGER

1-FOX VALLEY GEMINI-Goes for three-peat and likely gets it

4-FOX VALLEY CAYMAN-Seems like the main competition

7-SULLENBURGER-In tough but great form

Hawthorne Race 11

Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 -CAMMILL’S MONEY MAN 4 -ALLEGHENY HANOVER 7 -CASH WITH JOE

5-CAMMILL’S MONEY MAN-Beaten favorite flew late

4-ALLEGHENY HANOVER-Almost caught the lone speed

7-CASH WITH JOE-Interesting that Oosting drives this one

Hawthorne Race 12

Analysis by Ron Uchman
8 -AMERICA’S FLEET 10 -ERNIE THE MOOSS 1 -WATT A HARDT

8-AMERICA’S FLEET-Meets a bit easier

10-ERNIE THE MOOSS-Been getting close at big prices

1-WATT A HARDT-Rail speed can hold on for small share