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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun March 3rd, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Santa Anita Race 8

Post Time 6:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

SANTA ANITA HANDICAP (G1) 

Assessing the favorites, both #2 HIGHLAND FALLS (taking a big step up in class) and #7 NEWGRANGE (stepping up in class off perfect trips) must be taken on in that role. 

Distance is the main unknown for #5 NEWGATE one that otherwise fits on class and speed as well as current form as he projects to return to a top in this third start of the cycle. Stablemate #1 REINCARNATE returns from the layoff and projects to be on the lead given his prior success paired with the rail draw. That tactic should put pressure on #4 SALESMAN coming off a big figure though a different game from that 13f marathon event, taking the figure with a grain of salt. 

#6 SUBSANDOR comes into this race with the most upside in his second start of this season. He can be upgraded from the TRAFFIC trip in the San Antonio (G2) and has been training forwardly with the connections patiently waiting for the right spot. 

#3 MIXTO comes into this race lighter number wise, though otherwise is in top form. He paired BTL efforts in the two recent starts, both graded stakes races. From a visual standpoint this one has plenty of stamina and should have no issues with the extra furlong.