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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri April 5th, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

LAFAYETTE STAKES:

#3 DONCHO has presented his class even before he made his debut and has continued to show his class on race day. He is taking the step up to stakes company in an "old school" clear-the-conditions manner. He dominated (B+) both his debut MSW field and allowance horses and it is just not the number or the lengths on paper, it is a different level of racehorse. 

Keeneland Race 8

Post Time 3:44 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

TRANSYLVANIA STAKES (G3): 

#12 CUGINO fits today's race shape and an improving type. He will exit the common race, the Colonel Liam stakes last month at GP, a race that could be KEY+ with next out Animal Kingdom stakes winner, Okiro and Triple Espresso turning in a BTL (B) 4th in the JR Stakes (G3) on 3/23. #13 ROYAL MAJESTY turned in a BTL effort and at included here off that trip. 

#9 DEPICTION might not have caught as strong an overall group in the Dania Beach though from the visuals and show finish can IMPROVE and did turned in a competitive B- effort with TRAFFIC in the Bourbon (G2) over this course last year. The winner of that race #10 CAN GROUP can improve from the Lecomte (G3) overall and while the connections come back to the turf (waited and scratched from the Black Gold stakes taken off the turf 3/2 FG) where he's proven, he is worth another try on dirt. 

Appleby runners often get attention and for good reason worth noting #8 MUSICAL ACT in the field. He will be tested to step up coming out of Dubai behind his dominant stablemate winner, Legend of Time.

Keeneland Race 9

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

ASHLAND STAKES (G1):

Morning line favorite #7 IMPEL is an underlay in that role and very vulnerable in that role if it holds on race day. She benefit from a mid field on debut and PERFECT trip in allowance company last month at Oaklawn Park pairing up 89 figures in those races and must improve as the rest of this field have run faster and already tested in stakes company.