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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Wed June 19th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 11:45 AM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 AMERICAN RAIDER had recorded the B OptixGRADES under similar conditions and fits right back in this spot though will take on some slightly "new" faces. #3 SIXWILLBERICH being one of those making their debut for the $10k MCL level and should move up naturally with the change alone. #1 QUEBRANCHO another that takes the class drop and recorded B OptixGRADE back in March sprinting at OP though should not have an issue at the ROUTER distance. 

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post Time 12:14 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 SING A LITTLE SONG returns from a slight freshening and key distance change back to the ONE_TURN. That moves up up exiting the route races exposed at the distance and finds a par similar to the events back at GP earlier this year where she was competitive recorded a B OptixGRADE on 3/15. 

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post Time 12:43 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#12 SWEET FANTASY earned a follow off the debut last month and green breaking SLOG can benefit from the initial start (PREP) stepping up today. He will need to with #10 AKINMUSIRE returning to maiden company from a competitive B- effort in the KY Juvenile Stakes last month. 

Doug O'Neill has sent out some live runners this CD meet in a limited sample that included Big Salt Lick finishing 3rd in his juvenile debut earlier this month to keep #7 NO MOR STONES on the radar. 

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 BOLD APPEAL could be the controlling speed running back to her debut effort and figure. The class drop is notable though has been the plan as she has been entered under similar conditions here twice as a TRAINER scratch this meet. 

#8 SWEET LILIBET takes the drop back into MCL company and the right move for her with some upside from the TROUBLE+ EX back in April and competitive move forward last month at PID with a similar par to today's event. The change in class upgraded #6 PATTY VAN TWINKLE last month coming off the layoff and from the subtle trips prior to the break though she should not be overlooked here as a shorter number is projected. 

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 3:22 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#12 LINCOLN HIGHWAY will need some racing luck to draw in and for a COLD barn though has a big look returning under similar conditions from a BTL effort with adversity last month. 

#7 RECKONING FORCED turning a competitive effort and CLOSE under similar conditions on 5/2 and held his own wheeling right back with rise in class for the Louisville (G3) on the quick 16-day turnaround. He has been given time since to recovery in the form cycle and back to a level where they can compete.

While the COLD trend is noted above, the HOT follows #4 AMERICAN DIAMOND one that fits this race (though no real strong edge) - the positive trend is noted. 

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The class edge sides with #10 UP ON THE EDGE one that should move up naturally here and her best chance to clear the condition, even if it comes with the claim.

Upside also follows #7 COMPUTADORA with the subtle change and keying off a competitive number with adversity at the shorter sprint distance on 4/27. 

The change in class (DROP) was also required for #8 BRIGHT LADY DAY back in the MSW events last year. While she has found the change in the two recent starts and must step up, each race was split by a layoff line and both drawing the outside, 10 post, and flow upgrade in the recent start. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Wed June 19th, 2024

Download as PDF

Peter's Simulcast Plays

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 11:45 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Right On Target - 9/2 1 Quebrancho - 3/1 3 Sixwillberich - 2/1

Churchill Downs Race 2

Post Time 12:14 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Silver Rose - 7/5 5 La La Rose - 5/2 1 Sister Kisses - 8/1

Churchill Downs Race 3

Post Time 12:43 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Akinmusire - 5/2 3 Concrete Cruiser - 6/1 4 Purse Thief - 3/1

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Bold Appeal - 7/2 2 Despo's Dream - 6/1 1 End of Innocence - 3/1

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Elusive Target - 7/2 7 Master Game - 6/1 2 Background - 5/1

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post Time 2:18 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Lite It Up Louie - 3/1 7 Motown Mika - 8/1 8 Virasana - 8/5

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post Time 2:50 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Discreet Mischief - 7/5 2 Risk It - 4/1 7 Pure Force - 9/5

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 3:22 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Reckoning Force - 7/2 2 Gray's Fable - 5/1 1 Risk Manager - 5/1

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Computadora - 5/1 6 Queen Anna T - 8/1 9 Miss Maximus - 8/1

Hoosier Park Harness Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Vel Flip The Cup 5 Princess In Pink 1 Be True To Me

Hoosier Park Harness Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Weston Swan 3 Lynnly's Lucky Al 2 Sj's Gucci's Lane

Hoosier Park Harness Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Fast Feet 1 Yesidid 10 Rj's Fireball

Hoosier Park Harness Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Little Lucky Lady 3 Premier Margarita 7 Vels Drinks On Tina

Hoosier Park Harness Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Miss Freaky Feet 6 Luscious Lucky 5 Incredible Claire

Hoosier Park Harness Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Fix It Up 6 Double A Jasper 10 Monty's Mission

Hoosier Park Harness Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Woodside Hank 4 Certified Swan 6 Uncle Archie

Hoosier Park Harness Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Extortion 7 Garrison 1 Go Mr Johnny

Hoosier Park Harness Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Vel Over Yonder 2 Miss Graceland 6 Kitalpha

Hoosier Park Harness Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Freaky Sweet Pete 3 Honey So Sweet 1 Northern Lucky Lei

Hoosier Park Harness Race 11

Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Head Of The Class 9 Globe Master 3 Bear's The One

Hoosier Park Harness Race 12

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 JaZzy Vespa 1 Premier Mayflower 7 Sweet N Speedy

Hoosier Park Harness Race 13

Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Land Of Freedom 8 Marys Magic 10 Nostalgic

Hoosier Park Harness Race 14

Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Swan Aleah 3 Alexa 2 Sunny Sundries

Horseshoe Indy Race 1

Post Time 1:10 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Air Cav - 5/2 7 We Will Conquer - 9/2 3 How's Ur Attitude - 9/5

Horseshoe Indy Race 2

Post Time 1:41 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Shipcaptainncrew - 9/5 2 Off to the Races - 7/2 5 Elusive Warrior - 6/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 3

Post Time 2:12 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Perfectly Wicked - 8/5 2 Stupendous - 2/1 1 Lily's Home - 5/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 4

Post Time 2:43 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Spooner - 5/2 7 Say Yes Anni - 6/1 5 Molly's Aussie - 5/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 5

Post Time 3:14 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Magic in Motion - 4/5 4 Prettyontheprarie - 5/1 5 Holiday City - 4/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 6

Post Time 3:45 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Forever Lasting - 5/1 5 Rigoberto - 5/2 8 Commander Storm - 4/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 7

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Star Wisher - 9/2 6 Ms Quality Control - 5/1 2 Habuiah - 8/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 8

Post Time 4:47 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Covet - 7/2 6 Xander - 6/1 1 Multitask - 6/1

Horseshoe Indy Race 9

Post Time 5:15 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Ucankissjudysboode - 6-1 9 Secret Horn - 7-2 7 Apollitical Ocean - 4-1