« 06/25/2024 06/27/2024 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Wed June 26th, 2024

Download as PDF

Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 ANAKARINA earned a follow from a TROUBLE trip debut last month. She is one of the few in this field with experience and that could be a further advantage as well as the learning experience and rider change returning here. 

Churchill Downs Race 6

Post Time 2:18 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 VINO VERITAS turned in a competitive effort in her debut, the start in MSW company. She paired the effort in MSW, a softer par for the level on 4/27 at OP. She returns for a claiming tag today and at the right level for her abilities.

#1 STREETS OF PARIS could hold a subtle pace advantage in this race. Some upside can be projected wheeling right back for this second start and subtle change in class. She showed early speed as part of a WIDE DUEL and while losing ground (NO_KEEP) the winner, Rockaway Reef rallied from off the pace. 

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post Time 2:50 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Trip and pace is the main hurdle for #6 DIVINE ARMOR as his form fits at this level and returning from a BTL CLOSE under similar conditions last month. There is a scenario where the pace/contention does develop for that late run though still with a closer price compensation is required. 

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 3:22 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 HUNTRESS FOR HIRE will make a slight distance change for this race though has a class edge on her side. The extra furlong should not be an issue based on how she has run throughout her career and upgraded as she makes her second start off the layoff from a less than ideal TACTIC- and WIDE trip last month. 

Delaware Park Race 3

Post Time 12:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#13 LORD DONEGAL will need a lot of racing luck to draw in though given a follow (IMPROVE) from the December Turfway start showing more than the line and finishing position suggests.