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Sun July 7th, 2024 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:10 PM CST
This could be a match race between the Rivelli-trained
entrants but do think that 1-DI’S SURPRISE holds the edge on turf. She broke
her maiden two races back, in a turf sprint, and finished third to a tough
winner, who came right back to score again, in last. 2-DOROTHY CROWFOOT could be
the better of the two if this race happened to get moved to the main track. She
would be making her turf debut but she has been very good in her three dirt
races here. 5-DREAM NAP has been a sharp winner in both her races. However,
both were dirt sprints and both were against Illinois breds. Her barn in
0-for-15 in recent turf sprints but would never count them out.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:38 PM CST
1-CANYON SHADOWS appears to hold a dramatic advantage
over the rest of the field. He stopped badly in last in a turf route. That was
his first race with blinkers and Lasix. He obviously didn’t like blinkers since
they come off in this race. Turns back in distance and moves back to the main
track. Guessing he’ll gun them down in the stretch. 5-PRAEFECTUS URBANUS needed
last. He was making his first start of the year and his first start for this
barn. He ran out of gas there but he’s turning back in distance and moving back
into the state-bred ranks. Expect dramatic improvement. 2-GOOD YEGG has some
better than average workouts coming into his first start since 2021. Could be
interesting.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:06 PM CST
2-BE LUCKY finished well-beaten thirds in his two starts
here but those races still make him look like a standout in this field. 5-CHARLIE’S
BEACH has been racing regularly downstate. His speed figures suggest that he’s
the only one in here capable of giving top choice a run for the money. 1-STOLICH could
make late move and be the best of the rest.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:34 PM CST
4-JEFF THE LION is finally in the right spot. He looked a
little tired in his first start of the year but was much improved in last even
though he lost by seven. Even though there aren’t many speed types in this
race, the pace should be strong enough to set up for his late run.6-COMEDIC
TIMING hasn’t seemed to be at his best on dirt. He had been far more effective on
synthetic. But he’s dropping enough to erase that apparent disadvantage. He’s
another capable of finishing fast. 1-CODE RUNNER drops to make his first start
for this barn and his initial race at Hawthorne. He finished up the track in
his last three starts but facing somewhat easier helps his chances.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:02 PM CST
I might be crazy but going to pick against the probable
short-odds favorite. 2-DOUBLE THUNDER is at the top of his game right now. This
daylight winner of last was narrowly defeated in his first two local starts. He’s
probably going to be racing right off the early pace though he is probably
quick enough to go for the lead if they wanted to send him. I like that he’s
had multiple trips over the track. That just might make enough of a difference.
There’s little doubt that 1-DICK BEST will be favored. This California shipper
just wired the field at Santa Anita two weeks ago. However, sometimes runners
shipping from California have to acclimate. 6-CITY OF GOD can share late. He owns
decent speed but don’t think he can keep up with the top pair in the early
going. He has shown late run in the past. Might be able to pick up the pieces.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:30 PM CST
6-I’M BOX OFFICE drops into claimers for the first time.
She’s also adding blinkers. She had a lot of things going against her in last,
including stumbling at the start and chasing a horse loose on the lead. Her
barn has a 27% win rate with runners making their second start off the layoff. Guessing
her attack will come late. 1-LADY HELENA makes her first start for this barn and
her first trip on this course. Beaten favorite of last adds blinkers which
should only serve to increase her natural speed. Might never look back. Not
sure about 7-T’WAS LOLA on turf but think she’s capable of surprising if this
race does get moved to dirt. Stretches out. Possesses dangerous speed.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 4:58 PM CST
4-W W HOTSHOT is certainly good right now. Winner of last
two and four of last five (dating back to last year) has also been great here. With
his speed, he is capable of going right for the lead or tracking the pace and
he has been highly effective at doing both. 3-MACRON has been racing on a tougher
circuit. Though he is making his local debut, he’s been training here for a
long time. He is capable of dynamic speed. They might try to steal this on the
lead. 1-WENT WEST is two-for-two since getting claimed by this barn. Although he
has shown good early speed, the name of his game is coming on late. The
probable fast pace of this race could allow him to do just that. 5-FIT TO FLY
makes his first start of the year but this speedball races for the top barn and
they bring their runners ready.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 5:26 PM CST
This turf race has few dedicated turf runners so the
field should hold together even if the race gets switched to the main track. I
would have to think that 6-DRAGON DREW might be the one to beat. He chased the
very speedy Tightrope in last in that runner’s record-setting performance. He’s
had five wins on grass including three at this distance. Might hold off the
rest of the speed. 12-SIMPLE LOGIC comes on late. He’s probably better going
longer, he has finisher second in eight grass races for a reason, but a heated
speed duel would set things up for him. 8-A P BLAZING GREEN just broke his maiden
but he has some good turf races prior.
Hawthorne Race 9
Post Time 5:54 PM CST
9-SWEET CRYSTAL is quick from the gate. She finished second
in both start this meet after leading through the early stages. Gets the top
jock in the irons today. Maybe that will make the difference. 1-BETTY’S SECRET
might not be quite as quick as top choice but she’s shipping in from Fanduel
riding a two race win streak and she does have the advantage of the inside
post. 3-TOP LOOK drops and heads back to the main track. She showed little in
that turf race but had been in good form on dirt. Can bounce back.
Hawthorne Race 10
Post Time 6:22 PM CST
2-GIANNO finished second in last when making his turf
debut. Races for the top barn. Had a bullet drill since that race. The extra quarter
mile of this race would seem to work in his favor. 4-I O FEDRO has been entered
many times but for some reason, his races never went. Finally gets his chance.
He’s been training well and runs for some of the top connections. 5-BLACK RUSSIAN
is another coming off a narrow miss in a shorter turf sprint. He was flying
late but ran out of real estate. He’ll have plenty ground to work with today.