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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu July 11th, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Silky Warrior (IRE) 5 No Nannette No 3 Cairo Summer

They will likely be hard pressed to beat 1-SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) in here as she comes off a short layoff and an impressive win in her last. She has enough pace to rate close early in a field that doesn't look like any are committed to the front. 5-NO NANNETTE NO is going to need some pace to chase as she looks to rally late. She comes out of a tough starter event in her last and picks up a strong finisher in Cohen in the saddle. 3-CAIRO SUMMER is one who could look to show speed in this spot. She was also a fine winner in her last as she chased a slow pace. In here, she could look to inherit the lead and if she does they will likely be going very slowly on the front end.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 2:38 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Over Calendared 3 Minnesota Moon 5 Ironman Richie

A chance at a bit of a price in here with the 4-OVER CALENDARED as he has steadily improved in recent starts. He picks up the bug Slevinsky in the saddle as he could find some pace to close into. 3-MINNESOTA MOON ran a big race at Fairmount last out as he rated in the second flight early before rallying in the turn and drawing clear. That's the likely trip he will look for once again as he should be another to benefit from a contested early pace. 5-IRONMAN RICHIE ran very well in his first start off the layoff but disappointed in his most recent race. He runs his best when on or near the lead as he could find some company upfront.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:06 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 All Choked Up 5 Mahoney Road 4 Lawmaker

Off the last couple it is going to be tough to beat 2-ALL CHOKED UP today. He showed speed in each of his last two and may have just been done in by the yielding going in his last. If the course is firm it should benefit speed as he may make the top and never look back, 5-MAHONEY ROAD stalked and pounced for a nice win on the main track in his last. It has been a year since he was last on the turf but he showed speed in that start at Ellis last July before giving way late. Don't expect him to be too far back in here. 4-LAWMAKER is another that has had success on the turf as a firm course would be preferred. If he can find a stalking spot, he should be able to contend late.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 3:34 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Murphy's Combo 1 Laly 5 Come On Lady

State-bred maidens in the fourth as there may be a chance for an upset. I'm looking to 2-MURPHY'S COMBO as she debuts with Lasix. She has worked well at Fairmount leading into this spot for a barn that has had early success with horses in recent years. 1-LALY is the one to beat as she returns to the state-bred ranks today. She showed speed in her last couple and has the potential to make the top from the inside. 5-COME ON LADY ran well in starts two and three back as she tracked the leaders and ran on late. She held her own against open company in her last and should take her share of action in here.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:02 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Deal'em and Weep 5 Getoutofmykitchen 6 Crossanna

Two Block runners in here and interesting to see that Cohen is aboard 4-DEAL'EM AND WEEP after riding Crossanna last out. Deal'em and Weep stalked in that debut start and showed some late run. She raced through some traffic trouble late in that spot and figures to have learned a lot from that effort. 5-GETOUTOFMYKITCHEN could be a bit of a sleeper on the lead as she potentially could go unchallenged early. She does step up in class run has run some solid races and the price will be right. 6-CROSSANNA rated and rallied in her first two starts and she will figure to contend once again. She will need some pace to chase so let's see if she can get home in time.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 4:58 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Enzi 1 R Katiebug 4 Spicy Italian

Competitive allowance bunch in this spot as some newcomers could be factors. 2-ENZI is one of those as she gets Lasix for the first time as she makes her second turf start. She will need some pace to chase as she figures to close with a rush. 1-R KATIEBUG is one with speed as she may try to beat Spicy Delight to the top. She ran well in her last as the mile distance should suit her well. 4-SPICY ITALIAN could bring Wayne Catalano closer to 3,000 career training wins as she returns off the layoff. She has worked well toward her return and has some past races where she was able to show some speed.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 5:26 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Wildwood Ministry 7 Maqamat 5 Parker

A chance for an upset in here as 8-WILDWOOD MINISTRY comes off a pair of races against much tougher in his last two. He drops to the lowest level of his career and figures to rate close in a race that doesn't have a ton of pace. 7-MAQAMAT comes back to Hawthorne today as he could potentially show some speed in here. If he is able to shake loose early, he may never loo back. 5-PARKER has tactical speed as he finished just behind Maqamat two start back. He has tactical speed and may look to rate and run on late.

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 5:54 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Shady McGee (IRE) 9 Wicked Suprise 3 Red Hornet

A good turf bunch to close out the card. 6-SHADY MCGEE takes the class drop into here as he will need some pace to chase. He should find it in this spot as the distance suits and Cohen picks up the call. 9-WICKED SUPRISE is one of those with speed as he ran well at this level in his last. He made the top in that spot and battled into the lane. Let's see if he can shake loose once again. 3-RED HORNET was a good winner against conditioned company in his last. He likes the distance and is another that will benefit if the pace is pressured.