« 07/20/2024 07/22/2024 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun July 21st, 2024

Download as PDF

Howard's Late Pick 4

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 4:58 PM CST
Analysis by Howard Kravets

Race 7: 7 - 5 - 2

Pick4: 2,3,5,7 / 6,7,10 / 1,4 / 1,3,9 - $36

My top pick #7 Danville (4-1) has been a mainstay in this division for a long time in the Chicagoland area, and with good reason too. He is still running very competitive Beyers in the mid-to-high seventies, and if he runs his best with the pace in front of him, he could crack the top spot for the sixth time at Hawthorne in his career.


Race 8: 6 - 7 - 10

In a race filled with horses that have distance and surface question marks, I ended up on #6 Ha Ha Gloria (5-2), making her second start of the layoff for Coty Rosin. She has only 3 career starts as a 5yo. This is usually a reason to stay away from horses, but Ha Ha Gloria seems to have the right numbers and trip in this race, and with a lot of others in which I’m not confident, she should have everything she needs to fire.


Race 9: 1 - 4 - 7

In a maiden race where it doesn’t seem like a lot of these horses like to pass anyone, I am sticking with the horse that looks to get a decent lead off the rip, the #1 Sendemdowntheroad (7/2). Going through the field, there were many that I crossed off instantly, and this one should take them around, especially with the lack of pace pressure in this race compared to his last few. The only of those aforementioned horses that has shown ability to rate is #4 Nap Lover, so be on the lookout for her if the pace does quicken up.


Race 10: 3 - 9 - 1


In the last, this finally seems like a race where there will be a blitz for the lead early on by at least two if not three horses. While the morning line favorite #3 Madelyn Belle (5/2) seems to be one of those involved early, I think that last race showed a new side to her that I really liked. Both times she’s raced on the turf in her career, she has shown the ability to rate just off the speed and get first run on a lot of closers. Also, with the only true closer in this race #9 Covenant Lady who I like in 2nd, she looks to have an edge on this field and 5/2 is a good enough price for her to beat these.