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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun July 21st, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 2:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Millard a Maverick - 5-2 5 Legendary Phantom - 3-1 9 Black Russian - 10-1

With hopes of getting back on the turf, a bust Sunday with five turf races carded. Gave the nod to 7-MILLARD A MAVERICK as he comes in from Indiana for this start. He ran a nice race on the grass in his last as he overcame a lot of trouble and almost was a winner. The outside draw is no concern as he figures to settle and roll in the lane. 5-LEGENDARY PHANTOM has tactical speed as he ran well over this course two back. His last was just an even effort but he gets Felix in the saddle, who has ridden this course very well. 9-BLACK RUSSIAN ran really well at a huge price on the turf two back. He is another that should benefit from a contested pace upfront as he figures to rally in the lane.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 2:38 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Wildwood Ministry - 7-2 6 Hatchet Creek - 10-1 2 Hurts So Bad - 5-1

I was scared off of Tonys Morning Line in here as he ran a decent race last out but immediately drops off the claim. I'll stay away and see if he beats me. Gave the nod to 4-WILDWOOD MINISTRY, who also drops, but not as much as the rail runner. He has tactical speed and the connections may be hopeful that he grabs a win without being claimed as he was recently a scratch from a spot where he looked to be competitive. 2-HURTS SO BAD has speed but will have to try to outkick a couple of others to the top. He has posted improved efforts in his last couple for a barn that has heated up in recent weeks.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 3:06 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Izzy's Monster - 4-5 1 No Nannette No - 12-1 4 Think Blue - 8-1

It appears that they will be hard pressed to beat 5-IZZY'S MONSTER in here as she has been impressive in all four starts on the meet. She inherited the lead in a race with no pace last out but things should be much different here as there are multiple horses that could look to contend early. The only thing that can beat her here is if he chooses to challenge the others early. 1-NO NANNETTE NO has to hope for that contested pace as she figures to sit back early and rally in the lane. Her race in April puts her in the mix and she will be a price. 4-THINK BLUE is a new shooter in here as she stretches out after recent sprints in St. Louis. I don't expect her to contend for the early lead but I also don't expect that she will be too far off the pace either.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 3:34 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Machiva - 6-1 3 Babe in the Woods - 9-5 7 Safecracker Sue - 3-1

A pretty wide open affair as there are few that have been consistent. Lightly raced 2-MACHIVA is bred to run all day and posted an improved effort behind a daylight winner in her last. She moves to the turf here and should get some pace to close into. 3-BABE IN THE WOODS should be on or near the lead as she ran well two back but chased a tired in her last. Regardless, both figures put her at the top of this field as she should take her share of action. 7-SAFECRACKER SUE also has tactical speed as she chased but just ran evenly in the lane in her last couple. She should be in a similar position early in here and let's see if she shows any finish late.

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 4:02 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Go Stormin Girl - 2-1 4 Maystart - 5-1 2 Mystic Storm - 9-2

Have to think 3-GO STORMIN GIRL gets the right trip and contends the entire way as she loves this track and finds a field with little early pace. She made the top in her last but was caught late. In here she should be on the lead again but it should be unchallenged. 4-MAYSTART did run down Go Stormin Girl last out and was almost victorious. She will be closing late again today but I'm not sure if she will have enough pace in front of her to chase. 2-MYSTIC STORM was the 8-5 favorite in the race with the top two selections last out and did make a move into the lane before flattening out. That was her first start off a bit of a layoff though so she may be able to show more in here.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 4:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Sharp Stick - 9-2 1 Even the Wind - 5-2 8 We Miss Arlington - 7-2

Conditioned claimers on the grass with multiple runners in with a shot. 4-SHARP STICK gets the nod as he has tactical speed and returns to the grass after trying it once last summer. He should be forwardly placed in this spot and may get the jump as there's not much pace to challenge early. 1-EVEN THE WIND has run well on the turf, posting a good maiden score to open the meet. His last was decent and the class relief may be all he needs. 8-WE MISS ARLINGTON chased last out as Hay Moon ran a huge race in victory. With the move back to the turf here, along with the added distance, I expect he is on or near the lead and is a factor throughout.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 4:58 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Danville - 4-1 2 Coach Jimi D - 5-2 5 Gluckstadt - 6-1

This is a good allowance field that does look to provide a decent amount of early pace. With that pace setup, I'm looking to 7-DANVILLE as he gets back to the main track today. He likes this Hawthorne strip and figures to rate and run on in the lane. 2-COACH JIMI D stalked the pace in his last and battled to the lane. He has been sharp since stretching out and comes in with a pair of nice works leading into here. 5-GLUCKSTADT gets back on the dirt as he ran a decent race at this level two back. He's another that will benefit from some pace to chase in here and could be worth a look at a price.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 5:26 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 Ha Ha Gloria (IRE) - 5-2 10 Inventing Anna - 7-2 12 Mischief Lily - 3-1

A good field of maiden turf sprinters as a couple of new shooters look to get into the mix. One that did run here was 6-HA HA GLORIA (IRE) as she ran a good second as the favorite off the layoff in May. She went up to Minnesota with the Rosin stable to train there but returns to get this turf sprint try. 10-INVENTING ANNA comes in from Indiana off a strong race in her last. That was her first start of the year. She did get a very fast pace to chase in that spot so we will see what she gets in front of her in here. 12-MISCHIEF LILY turns back in distance as she has been knocking on the door for her maiden score. She also makes her second start of the year and figures to be a factor if she is able to draw in.

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 5:54 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Sendemdowntheroad - 7-2 8 Remember the Fear - 6-1 4 Nap Lover - 5-2

With the rail draw and speed, I'm hopeful 1-SENDEMDOWNTHEROAD has enough speed to clear and wire this field. He has improved with every start and looks to be knocking on the door in here. 8-REMEMBER THE FEAR drops down as he looks to get a confidence boost today. His two Churchill starts posted figures that makes him competitive as he should show more in here. 4-NAP LOVER ran well in his debut as he settled and ran on late. He is going to take some action in here as he should come running on late.