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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Mon July 22nd, 2024

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Stakes Spotlight

Ellis Park Race 8

Post Time 3:19 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

TWIN BRIDGES STAKES: 

The feature race should present some value with #1 AMARETTI looking to get attention once again coming off a dominant (B+) win and figure in the most recent start. While running back to her best has her competitive there are some concerns if this is the time and place as she worked HARD for the win last out. #4 YOUR SO SILEA also comes into this stakes event off solid form pairing wins at CD though did appear to "peak" in that cycle and another that requires a top in this stakes event to win. 

#8 NON VIOLENCE looks pointed to this event finishing second in the race last year. She closed out 2023 in the Groupie Doll at the mile distance beyond her SPRINTER characteristics. Freshened for 2024, she was given the return in stakes company off the bench at LS and while there is some lack of recency (56-days) she has steady works to compensate along with the intent. 

#7 SECRET STATEMENT might be a touch light on class, though does show up in this race with current form (BTL 6/9) to get a share at a price, less "obvious" than others in this field given the recent finishing positions.