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Thu August 15th, 2024 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:10 PM CST
3-PEGGY’S WAY could hold a slight edge. She might not be
quite the quickest of these but she does seem to maintain her speed longer than
most. Just graduated and was claimed from that race. Her new barn wins with 30%
of their first-time claims. 6-PROBLEMATICA is probably the quickest of these
and would be my selection at five and five and a half furlongs but she usually
runs out of gas. However, she might build a commanding lead and hold on for the
win. 5-WRITTEN CONSENT could be the best closer in the field. She’s dropping in
class, turning back in distance, and moving from turf to dirt. Her best chance
happens if the top pair lock up in a speed duel.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:38 PM CST
7-A REAL HERO could get the trip. Winner of last, her
first start after getting claimed by this barn, should find an ideal pace ahead
of her with all the speed in this field. She could have dead aim late. 4-SMOOTH
JUSTICE just dominated. Speedy mare has been sharp in all her races at this
claiming level. She’s meeting a few others with competitive speed but if she
runs the way she did in last, it might not matter. 6-SUPORB is one of those
with competitive speed. She’s had three races since moving to this barn,
winning one and finishing second in the other two. She figures to be a major
player once again.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:06 PM CST
Can’t help but think that the pace of this race will set
up for a runner like 3-SILVER QUARTERS. He hasn’t had nearly the success on
turf as some of his rivals but he does appear to be the best closer and there
should be a hotly contested pace on the front end. Gets the top jock for this.
Can fly by them all. 2-SAILING SOLO might be the best of the speed. He’s not
going to be unchallenged but he has shown great tenacity under pressure. He has
been victorious in four of his six turf races at this distance. Could outlast
the rest of the early burners. Not in love with the chances of 4-CADET CORPS on
turf but really like him if this race gets moves to the main track. H never
raced on an off surface but his dirt speed figures tower over those of his
rivals. 1-SOUL COAXING pulled off a mild upset in his lone local turf race. He
stalked the pace set by Sailing Solo and managed to get by late. He’s likely to
get the same kind of trip today. A repeat win is possible.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:34 PM CST
2-RACARINO needed last. He was making his first start
since October. He owns enough speed to stay close and still finish with good
energy. The fact that he gets the top jock in this spot could enhance his
chances. 1-RIVZONAROLL has speed, the rail and he drops in class. He failed to
show much when trying the turf in last but, at this level on the main track, he
might lead throughout. 6-RISKY BOY was overmatched in last couple and it showed
but he has been highly competitive when meeting rivals such as these. Can wake
up in a big way with the class drop.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:02 PM CST
Love the “never won on turf” condition. It kind of levels
the playing field. Obviously, some in here have fared better on the lawn but you
would have to think that 4-SWIFT AS I AM holds the advantage. He might not have
won on grass but he’s had some big-time efforts in stakes races. His turf
“figs” are considerably higher than those of his rivals. He should be the one
to beat. It is supposed to rain a lot on Wednesday so it’s possible that this
race will be moved to the main track. If that happens 9-LIKE A SALTSHAKER
deserves a long second look. He’s entered for main track only and he has been
terrific on our “main” track, winning three of five and finishing second in the
other two on the local dirt. There is speed aplenty in this race and it’s
possible that there will be at least three vying for the lead. 2-I’M WIDE
AWAKE, 3-CONGRATS ON FIFTY and 7-ARTHURIAN could be duking it out on the front
end.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:30 PM CST
7-PALHACO never won here but he did finish in the money
in four of his six local starts. Tactical speed allows him to go for the lead
or to sit right behind it. 4-TWO COOKIE RULE finished second in his last two
starts. This mile 70 route seems to be his best distance. He should be a major
player again today. 6-JIM AND JIM made a nice middle move in last but couldn’t
sustain it. However, it might have signaled that he’s rounding into form`.
Could be poised to pull off a minor upset.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 4:58 PM CST
With a lot of rain forecast it’s hard to figure who will
stay in this race if it comes off turf. 2-CROSSANNA is the pick on the lawn.
She ran well in both her races, both turf routes, but her barn does great with
runners turning back in distance. On the main track, I would think that 3-GEROGIA
ON E’SMIND would be tough. She was claimed from last from one of the top barns
in the country. She’s moving into maiden specials for this but also shipping
from Churchill. Could lead throughout. 1-FROM SCRATCH looks like the best speed
if his race stays on the weeds. She tired badly in her turf debut but think she
can improve with experience.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 5:26 PM CST
4-KHOZAN’S SUCCESS has been red hot at the $5k claiming
level. The first time he raced here at this level he won by 12, though was DQ’d.
Shipped to CD for his next start but wasn’t competitive. Since returning here,
he has a win and a close second. Will be tough in this one. 7-NOT VERY GENTLE comes
along late. He finished a few lengths behind top choice in last but he had a
nightmare trip. There is enough speed in here to soften up top pick and that
would favor this gelding. 1-UNIFIED WEEKEND is another likely to come on late.
He hasn’t had a lot of luck lately when they send him but he usually fares well
when they take him back off the pace.
Hawthorne Race 9
Post Time 5:54 PM CST
Interesting. It’s a turf contest without many turf
runners. 9-GIANNO gets the nod. He was second in his lone turf route against
maiden claimers. Might be good enough for this group. 8-LONE RETURN could be
the best of the speed. Like top choice, he was second in his lone turf route
and the winner of that race went on to capture his next race as well. 10-SKYLANE
ran well enough in his lone turf race but it’s his main-track form that makes
him especially dangerous if this race gets moved to the main track.
Springfield State Fair Race 1
Springfield State Fair Race 2
Springfield State Fair Race 3
Springfield State Fair Race 4
Springfield State Fair Race 5
Springfield State Fair Race 6
Springfield State Fair Race 7
Springfield State Fair Race 8
Springfield State Fair Race 9