Handicapper Tips & Picks

#3 DON'T BRING CRAZY could be the controlling speed in this race and the key to rebound in the second start of the meet and fitness second off the long layoff. 

#2 ONE MAGIC PHILLY is likely to be favored with the recent speed figures though had to work HARD to get the win last month breaking their maiden and faces a higher par today. 

#6 LOTERIE caught the key last summer especially in the Juv. Fillies Turf Stakes with a BTL TROUBLE+ effort while still taking on winners as a maiden. She required time before coming back this year and picking up the maiden win in May. She will reunite with A. Fresu the rider of that maiden score and coming back from the San Clemente (G2) chasing behind her front running stablemate winner with upside in this second start of the cycle. 

#9 RAW ABILITY will make her local debut and has caught the eye working in the morning and will not be dismissed here. 

As noted in the Stakes Spotlight the trending barn returns here with #5 SHIN JIDAI in a second start of the meet. They return under similar conditions from the 7/20 race when showing run while WIDE and with TROUBLE from the outside post to project upside. 

#5 MISS JO'S CURLIN can step forward off the debut which appeared a PREP showing a strong GALLOP+ after the SLOG and the STRETCH out in distance presents a further positive.

#1 TROTSKY  brings upside off his races to date and form cycle pattern. The STRETCH out in distance is a positive and following an "every other" improving form cycle pattern that includes the B/BTL effort back on 5/4 as well as the B- place finish in June at LRC at today's expected sprint distance. 

#3 ARAMI'S FACTOR has more to show as she returns to make a belated seconds tart. The debut back in June projected to IMPROVE making a WIDE MOVE after the SLOG. That event held a higher par and while not overly productive outside of the winner, Ecstasy coming back to win twice since, the rest of the field has held form.

The change in class could be the hurdle for #2 FIRECRACKER FIONA though another that showed more run on debut than perhaps the running line and finishing position suggest and can IMPROVE though steps up here to MSW company. 

#5 ROBITAILLE had the benefit of races over the inner turf course and while the numbers might not be as strong as some others this season they can IMPROVE off the recent start putting in a strong CLOSE after the SLOG. The surface switch to TURF for #9 DEVELOPING THE WAY and given another look freshened for this race and back on the grass. 

Drexler has been sending out live runners as of late and showing back up on the turf and two turn innercourse for #2 DRAGON'S BREW the scene of the win and similar conditions/par back in July. 

As noted in Race 7, Drexler returns with #8 COLONEL MUSTARD one that had a look under similar conditions last out coming off a BTL effort on 7/27. He has a look right back recording a B- effort despite the running line and finishing position (and should hold value with those factors) making a MOVE through TRAFFIC X_FLOW. The race shape today and slight addition of ground could be further positives.

Also worth keeping #4 JULIE'S MIST on the radar while a win might be a reach, as she gives up recency and taking on males, she is at the right level and TURF surface for her abilities and fits on par with many in this group and price compensation should be there.

TRANQUILITY LAKE STAKES: 

The L. Powell barn has been sending out live runners and the trend with a pair in this race including #5 LIBERAL LADY returning from the 72-day freshening and back to DMR over this course and mile distance where she has come up short on the win end, though recorded competitive numbers and figures with the minor results. Stablemate #3 GRACE PERIOD is less proven on the dirt though oven another look in this spot and one of the few with recency. She could benefit form the race shape that projected to be honest (assists #2 ASCENDANCY on trip as well) and could set up her late run and pick up the belated stateside win. The connections have tried the main track in the past and the lone mile even for GRACE PERIOD back in January was compromised by trip not necessarily the surface alone.