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Thu September 5th, 2024 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:10 PM CST
2-QUIERO DINERO gets a slim nod. She’s finished third at
this level in her first local dirt start and improved to finish second in last.
She’ll be tracking the early pace. Can edge by late. 6-MISS SAIPAN looks like
the best speed. Kentucky shipper is likely to be favored but she does have the
tendency to run out of gas late. 4-HOLY IMAGE might give them a run for the
money. Although she has been meeting easier for the most part, she did finish
second in her last four, losing the last two by a nose and a head.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:38 PM CST
7-MON AMIE FUZZIE might be the best closer in this
speed-filled race. He’s dropping to meet his easiest field in a long time. The
pace should set up. Can break through. I loved 2-UNCAPTURED PULSE in last but
he just didn’t make the late run I was expecting. The pace of this race,
however, just might set up even better. Deserves another chance. 5-WINGING WAYS
might be the best of the speed or at least he usually displays the most
sustained effort. Has a legitimate chance to put away the rest of the speed and
hold the closers safe.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:06 PM CST
2-DOC'S SEVEN was outgunned in last couple and should be
excused those efforts. But, he’s been very good when racing at the right level
on turf and this is probably the easiest grass field he has ever met. He beat
better the last time Mojica rode him on the lawn. Guessing they’ll get back to
the winner’s circle today. 1-BE MY BESTIE certainly figures. It’s been a year
since he ran on grass but he has a record of a win and two seconds in his three
grass attempts. Switches barns since last and his new barn wins with 32% of
those starting for them for the first time. 8-ALLOTROPE might be the best
speed. It’s also been a long time since he ran on the weeds but he was also
successful in limited tries and even won a maiden special before getting DQ’d.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:34 PM CST
4-KHOZAN'S SUCCESS has been in very good form here. In
his last four local starts, he’s had two wins and two seconds. He's not as
quick as some in here but he will never be too far back and he will finish
well. 7-PARKER has been a good sprinter and he hasn’t had nearly the same
success around two turns. But he is dropping back to the right level and his
speed figures suggest that he’s among
the fastest of these. 2-NOT VERY GENTLE will try to come on late. He
doesn’t possess a big closing move but he’s more than capable of grinding out a
third-place finish.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:02 PM CST
6-MAHONEY ROAD could get the perfect tracking trip. He
was favored at this level in his first local turf trip but was narrowly beaten
and finished second. But, he did have considerable trouble in that contest.
He’d had only one previous turf race so the recent experience could have
helped. The pace of this race might not be quite as quick which could allow him
to stay even closer. Late surge can get him by. 5-TALONS TIME finished a little
behind top choice in last. Considering that was his turf debut, it was a strong
effort. He was even making up ground late. The extra real estate of this race
could work to his advantage. Experience certainly helps. 7-CLYDE'S GREEN GO is
an interesting runner. He's had three turf races, all at Arlington in 2021, and
ran well in all of them. He's likely to go off at a square price despite good
current form. Might want to consider.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:30 PM CST
Not really sure where to go with this race, None are in
great form. There doesn’t seem to be a great pace scenario. It’s been a long
time since 2-DASH TO THE CASH has shown anything but he does have a couple
things going for him. He has the highest average recent speed figures, he gets
the top pilot in the irons, and a lot of horses improve going from turf to
dirt. 5-CANYON SHADOWS is another using the turf to dirt angle. He ran well in
his state-bred races on dirt and wired the field to break his maiden two starts
back. 3-GOD GUNS AND GUTS could turn out to be the best closer in the field.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 4:58 PM CST
6-GREAT COOLNESS makes his first start since January.
This lightly-raced runner has shown some versatility in his brief career, He
was recently gelded (July) but has had four workouts since. Like the presence
of Cohen in the irons. Could get this one home first in what appears to be a
wide-open field. 1-TOUGH LITTLE NUT is a three-year-old meeting older but he
just finished against a similar field. It’s been 10 weeks since his last race
but three drills in that interim will have him on his toes for his return to
racing. 2-ALL CHOKED UP moves up in class but there’s a possibility that this
speedy runner can steal this on the lead.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 5:26 PM CST
5-GO STORMIN GIRL certainly isn’t a standout but she has
been in such good form this year that it’s hard to get past her in this spot.
She’s had eight races in 2024 and finished in the money in seven of them,
including a pair of wins. 6-THINK BLUE looks like the main competition. It’s
been two months since her last start and she had only one drill in the interim
but her barn does bring them back ready. She possesses some of the highest
recent speed figures of any in here. She was narrowly beaten at this level in
her only local start. 3-MYSTIC STORM was favored when dropped to this level for
last but never really fired and finished 10 lengths behind the winner. Switches
to the leading rider for this attempt. When this rider and barn team up, they
win 31% of the time. Expecting an improved effort from her today.
Hawthorne Race 9
Post Time 5:54 PM CST
7-RICKY'S BEST finally gets turf. He has been entered for
turf in his last three starts but every one of those races was moved to the
main track. That isn’t going to happen today. He’s bred for the lawn and will
utilize the top rider today. Could be poised to surprise. 2-WOLF HUNTER meets
his easiest field ever. He showed a lot of promise early on but simply wasn’t
good enough to win at higher levels. But that changes with the drop into maiden
claimers. The pace of this race will be brisk. He can finally fully utilize his
late run. 5-SHARP STRIKE has never shown much but he’s another dropping into
maiden claimers. He’s another that has shown good late run at times. Deserves
serious consideration.