« 09/25/2024 | 09/27/2024 » |
Thu September 26th, 2024 |
Download as PDF |
Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:10 PM CST
5-SLAVA UKRAINI has been running over his head for much
of the meet but he’s finally dropping to a better level. Not sure how much
“heart” he has left after recent trouncings but if he has anything still there,
he should be the best of this group. 3-MISTER CHARMING hasn’t won in years but
he’s usually competitive when racing at the right level and this is that level.
He isn’t likely to try for the lead but he should never be far back. Has a
legit chance to win this. 2-WILDWOODS WARRIOR will occasionally display good
speed, as he did in last at 66-1. Might be the only one to challenge top choice
early.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 2:38 PM CST
Hard to count anybody out of this race. Can’t imagine
anybody beating 6-FINDAWAY to the lead. He stopped badly as Churchill in last
but he was in a pretty salty group at Churchill. Stretches out for the first
time but is bred to go long. Maybe he’ll last the distance. 4-ATKINS has been
in pretty good form. He was meeting much easier claimers not long ago but he
narrowly lost his last at this level. He could be the best of the closers in
this field. If top pick doesn’t break alertly, 7-CHAOS REIGNS most certainly
will. He wired fields in three of his six races this year. Can do it again.
1-GLUCKSTADT and 5-DANVILLE will be set loose late.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:06 PM CST
No guarantee that this race stays on turf but since so few in here have even raced, just going to stick with turf picks. 4-STABLE
CURRENCY was no match for the talented winner in her career debut but she was
easily second best. Runners from her barn continue to improve as they race. The
longer distance of this even could work in her favor. 3-GOLDENAGEACTRESS
doesn’t sport the fastest drills but she has been training regularly and she
does get the top jock as pilot for her debut. 8-CLASSYCOWTOWNLADY has speed, a
nice turf pedigree, and a rider that will get her out of the gate quickly.
Plus, her barn has been pretty successful with turf sprinters. Might be
overlooked on turf but she is a proven commodity on dirt and could be the one
to beat if this race did happen to get moved to the main track.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 3:34 PM CST
1-GOOD TO BE A PRINCE raced evenly in his debut. But that
race was on turf and this race will be on dirt. The top barn sends him out with
one of the top riders. He’s dropping in class, a 30% winning move for the barn,
making his second start (23%), and going from turf to dirt (30%). Figures to be
far tougher this time. 2-LEO’S WISH could be the best of the speed, at least
among those who have raced. He carried his speed much farther in last, on the
grass but would imagine he’ll still be fitter in the third start of his career.
5-BEST DRESSED MAN finished far back in his lone start but did show very good
early speed before tiring. At least two members of that field came back to win
their next starts. Stablemate of top choice could easily break on the lead. Don’t
take him lightly.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:02 PM CST
Highly competitive race. Many of the runners in here have
been finishing within mere inches of each other and there are a couple new
shooters that makes the field even more interesting. There seems to be a pretty
even mix of speed and closers and have to think that the closers maybe have the
edge. It could be the turn of 5-SHE’S WANDAFUL. She came within two heads of
winning last. The two that finished ahead of her are both back but think she
was moving best of all late. But, again, there’s no guarantee that this race
stays on the lawn and she really doesn’t like the main track. 6-MADELYN BELLE
is probably the one if this race does come off the weeds. She’s been good on
turf but her five dirt wins implies that it could be her preferred surface.
2-CHROME ATTACK was the recipient of a perfect trip in that same race and came
out a head in front. She was narrowly beaten in her previous start after
getting the same kind of trip. However, she lost ground late in both those
races. 8-RUMBERT, 7-MOMENT TO SHINE, 3-HA HA GLORIA, and 4-ICY RIVER could be
fighting it out on the lead.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:30 PM CST
1-QUIERO DINERO isn’t a strong choice but she has been in
good form and the pace of this race, once again, will set up for her late move.
6-PROBLEMATICA and 5-PEGGY’S WAY could fight for the lead. Both have the
potential to wire the field but both have been running out of gas in recent
races. 4-CRYSTAL SNOW races here for the first time this year but she has had
some local success previously and she’s another with the late move that could
be favored with many tiring speed horses.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 4:58 PM CST
Few in here ever raced on dirt so guess I’ll just stick
with the turf selections and hope for the best. 2-MAN ON ATTACK was in too
tough in a race that was too long for him in last but think he’s going to be a
major player in this spot. Drops in class. Cuts back to what should be an ideal
distance. He might have to fight for the early lead but think he can put the
rest of the speed away. 3-C’EST MAGNIFIQUE showed little in his first four
starts for this barn but guess they must have found the “key” for last. He flew
late to narrowly miss. However, he’s cutting back in distance for this and he
was a runner that always raced longer in New York. He might run out of real
estate at this distance though the pace of this race will work in his favor.
9-SHARP STICK moves up in class but he is razor sharp right now and just beat
good claimers by daylight. 1-ALL CHOKED UP is as quick as any in here. If he
does outbreak top choice, he might not get caught.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 5:26 PM CST
7-PRINCESS TENKO drops a couple levels and stretches out.
She raced competitively in all her dirt route races and all of them were
against better rivals. The leading rider stays aboard. 4-SUMMER AT THE SPA
appears to be at the top of her game. She narrowly won last but showed
considerable courage doing it. Can win right back. 2-PADDY GAL just missed in
her local debut. She led from the start but just got outdueled by Summer At the
Spa. But the trip over the track certainly helps.
Hawthorne Race 9
Post Time 5:54 PM CST
8-DOC’S SEVEN will be tough on either surface as she
always is when they run her at the right level. She’s versatile and runs well
against any kind of pace. She was a daylight winner on the lawn at this level
in last. Seems likely to repeat. 3-GET THE CANDY looks like the best of the
speed. She hasn’t had much dirt experience but she did finish third two races
back on a race that was moved to the main track. The drop helps her chances on
either surface. 7-LIPLINER might be sent after the lead but her best recent
races, at least finishes, came when she was taken off the pace.