« 09/28/2024 | 09/30/2024 » |
Sun September 29th, 2024 |
Download as PDF |
Howard's Late Pick 4
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 4:30 PM CST
Race 6: 1 – 3 – 8
Pick 4 Ticket: 1,3,8
/ 1,9,10 / 3,5,8 / 2,5,10 ($40.50….assumes
last race OFF turf)
#1 Lost Sunset (4-5) should wire this field…on paper lone
speed. But he’s hardly a cinch here. He tends to give it up late, so needs to
break on top. In this field, that should happen. Hard to trust, but likely
winner anyway. You’ll know him early.
Race 7: 9 – 10 – 1
Really nice
turf stake….the ground could be soft, so pay attention to how the turf course
plays. There are many horses coming in from out of town in this $150k stake,
and one of them is my top choice, #9 Nineeleventurbo (3-1) for veteran
West Coast trainer Neil Drysdale. He’s in great form and is versatile, just losing
to talented Irish Aces at Kentucky Downs last time. Watch out for a “local”,
#10 Out of Deductions, at a price. Block has him primed for this, and is
capable of a wicked close. Has to step up a touch, but have a feeling that will
happen.
Race 8: 5 – 3 – 8
Don’t feel
real confident here….#5 Stronger Together (7-2) is consistent and probably
better sitting a bit off the pace. Slightly concerned about the switch to
Colon, but he’s improved lately and this is a field he can beat. Main opinion…I’m
against the ML-fave, #8 Cool Quartet. On paper, he’s clearly the horse to beat,
but I don’t like the drop down to the bottom level. Maybe trainer/owners feels
like it’s the end of the meet and time to jump ship. I might be overthinking it
here.
Race 9: 2 – 5 - 10 (assume OFF
the turf)
Sendero (3-1) has only 1 race on dirt, and it was slop. But his breeding says he’d be
okay on wet dirt and if he stays in the race (and it’s taken off the turf), I
think he’s a big player. #5 Peggy’s Way comes back quick and should have the
lead, could be tough too if on dirt.