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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat October 26th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Keeneland Race 10

Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 FREE COUNTRY can be upgraded from the debut as part of the early pace racing X_FLOW before losing ground and NO_PUSH while the race winner, Mitty's Griddy rallied to win from well off the pace. #5 THUNDERHAWK raced X_BIAS on debut and RANK slightly X_FLOW last month when stretched out around two turns. That could present some upside as they find the class drop as well as the return to a sprint here.

As noted earlier in the week, trainer G. Compton can send out live FTS in this category and given a look with debuting #10 FRACK BABY with C. Torres aboard - the two teamed up earlier in the meet to finish third with a TROUBLE trip on a juvenile MSW runner called Surfin' M.

#12 WINTER CREEK will be tested with the circuit switch though noted from the debut raced X_FLOW and upgraded however might not present the value in this race required based on the ML that should hold given the connections and could allow for overlays on others. 

Santa Anita Race 9

Post Time 7:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 KANTHARA was given a follow off her debut back in 2022 and projected to IMPROVE did just that breaking her maiden in the second career start. She will follow a similar "second off" pattern with the long 693-day layoff return in August at DMR where much like her debut showed run and making a MOVE X_FLOW can IMPROVE off the effort and outcome.