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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun November 17th, 2024

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Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 4

Post Time 1:27 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson
#7 EL KABONG presents value at the double digit projection. They have form, figures and class that fits on par along with upside in this second start of the cycle coming off the SLOG TACTIC- trip last month at KEE. 

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 3:25 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#7 OSBOURNE makes his second start off the layoff with fitness on his side as well as the STRETCH in distance. Most of his recent campaigning has been pointed to Oaklawn though has a strong record at CD and the extended sprint distance in play here. 

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#9 GAMBLERS TAIL takes the drop looking for a win and cutback in distance. His numbers as a sophomore have lacked progression though consistent enough to compete here and valid in the ML favorite role.

#8 MIDNIGHT STORMY gives up recency returning from the layoff though is right back under similar conditions picking up where they left off from the BTL back in June. #4 QUARRYMEN also logical earning a B OptixGRADE under similar conditions last out (front wraps removed that day) though form not as "buried" and longer odds projected than on 10/13. 

Del Mar Race 4

Post Time 4:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 CLOUDY ROSE held their own in the first two starts on the main track against MSW and returns to the surface and distance here. From the visuals on 10/26 an EQUIP change picking up blinkers was projected and finds that change here as well as J. Hernandez showing further positive intent.

#10 GRAZEN GATOR recorded a B/BTL effort on debut, the lone sprint race and returns to the one turn distance here though will make the transition to the main track for the first time. They will also take the drop in class and the move logical following the pair of C+ efforts in the two recent starts, not quite on the level of competition. 

Del Mar Race 9

Post Time 6:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Pace should make the race in the finale with higher 91 SpeedRate paired with the Fire Contention. This scenario should benefit runners from off the pace and from the 9/13 common race with #5 SUPER ENTICING and #9 KETONIA wheeling right back in two weeks and fit all around in this spot. 

Woodbine Race 2

Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#10 I'M A BOURBON GIRL can be upgraded and playable at the right number in this spot. They find some class relief and a slight freshening looking to regain top form, form that was present back in September those efforts fit on par. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun November 17th, 2024

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Peter's Simulcast Plays

Gulfstream Park Race 1

Post Time 11:20 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Saturn's Ghost 8 Shines Madelin 9 Das Ist Alles Ally

Gulfstream Park Race 2

Post Time 11:49 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Bugged Out 5 Garuda 9 Kid Mattie Matt

Gulfstream Park Race 3

Post Time 12:18 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Maldini 8 Dimanche Gras 2 Ojin

Gulfstream Park Race 4

Post Time 12:48 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Stable Agent 9 Fastidious 6 Case Ace

Gulfstream Park Race 5

Post Time 1:17 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Andie One 1 Funtastica 9 Ashima

Gulfstream Park Race 6

Post Time 1:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Champagne Brunch 8 Satin Stone 3 Yellow

Gulfstream Park Race 7

Post Time 2:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Cajun's Choice 6 Grand Daniel 4 Chacharero

Gulfstream Park Race 8

Post Time 2:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Edgy 2 Numinous 7 Sneak Preview

Gulfstream Park Race 9

Post Time 3:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Unchained Elaine 5 Mom's Martini 3 Morning Devotion

Gulfstream Park Race 10

Post Time 3:46 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Sand and Sea 9 Charlie's Wish 7 Sun Bee

Gulfstream Park Race 11

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
8 Fortheloveofart 1 Asaasy 10 Starship Augusto

Mountaineer Park Race 1

Post Time 6:00 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 South Street - 6/5 2 Hollywood Hero - 9/2 3 Grand Rozzo - 10/1

Mountaineer Park Race 2

Post Time 6:25 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 U S Honour Nap - 6/1 2 Chelsea Dagger - 6/5 1 Cadillac Justice - 5/1

Mountaineer Park Race 3

Post Time 6:50 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Dyna's Flatter - 3/1 2 Agenda - 2/1 4 Always Connected - 7/2

Mountaineer Park Race 4

Post Time 7:15 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Letmenowhenurready - 8/5 7 Xayah - 3/1 3 Arden Ar - 8/1

Mountaineer Park Race 5

Post Time 7:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 S S Cosmopolitan - 9/2 1 Xtended Streak - 5/1 3 Fiery Side - 3/1

Mountaineer Park Race 6

Post Time 8:05 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Henry's World - 3/1 7 Beyond the Bend - 7/2 4 El Cardinal - 5/1

Mountaineer Park Race 7

Post Time 8:30 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Discretionary Day - 5/1 2 Courthouse Cove - 3/1 6 Citadino - 7/2

Mountaineer Park Race 8

Post Time 8:55 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Italiano - 6/5 6 You Are Awesome - 6/1 7 The Filter - 6/1
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun November 17th, 2024

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Ashlee's Lil Angel - 5-2 4 Ernie The Mooss - 4-1 5 Hezarengade - 7-1

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 7:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
3 Dream - 7-2 5 Jimmylai - 5-2 1 Somestarsandi - 9-2

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 7:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Jewels For Champ - 5-1 2 Fox Valley Tiegen - 6-1 6 Tru Cash - 5-1

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Fox Valley Starlet - 4-5 2 Illini Treacherous - 4-1 4 Holeinthebottle - 8-1

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 8:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Jimmy D Shark - 5-2 5 Fox Valley Boxer - 9-5 8 Tonto Returns - 6-1

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 8:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Never Mind N - 9-2 5 Marvelous Mystery - 9-5 3 Lous Lancelot - 8-5

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 9:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Sunburnt Silverado - 9-5 4 Kays In Charge - 2-1 3 Lous Night Vision - 10-1

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 9:30 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
4 Fox Valley Leah - 5-2 2 Rock It Out - 9-1 7 Rollin Coal - 8-1

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 9:50 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Town Gossip - 2-1 1 Fox Valley Ozzy - 4-1 8 Fox Valley York - 30-1

Hawthorne Race 10

Post Time 10:10 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Vertical Speed - 7-2 3 Deputy Dawg - 5-1 9 Key Ingrediant - 4-1
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sun November 17th, 2024

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Ron's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 7:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
9 April's Big Guy - 7-2 3 Ashlee's Lil Angel - 5-2 4 Ernie The Mooss - 4-1

9-APRILS BIG GUY-Figure he’ll be tougher vs. easier company

3-ASHLEE’S LIL ANGEL-Same connections as top choice w/top driver

4-ERNIE THE MOOSS-Best gets him close

 

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 7:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 Dream - 7-2 4 Revenge Rosie - 2-1 1 Somestarsandi - 9-2

3-DREAM-Found a softer field

4-REVENGE ROSIE-Presses pace; can take over late

1-SOMESTARSANDI-Might try to wire them

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 7:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
4 Smart Schooner - 5-2 5 Jewels For Champ - 5-1 6 Tru Cash - 5-1

4-SMART SCHOONER-Tough but trouble prone

5-JEWELS FOR CHAMP-Broke as favorite in Dygert

6-TRU CASH-Dygert champ; tough right back

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 8:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
1 Fox Valley Starlet - 4-5 2 Illini Treacherous - 4-1 4 Holeinthebottle - 8-1

1-FOX VALLEY STARLET-Seemingly holds a big advantage

2-ILLINI TREACHEROUS-Maybe only one to present a challenge

4-HOLEINTHEBOTTLE-Still a maiden but faster than most

 

Hawthorne Race 5

Post Time 8:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
7 Jimmy D Shark - 5-2 5 Fox Valley Boxer - 9-5 9 Mondaymorningmerle - 9-1

7-JIMMY D SHARK-Stalks then pounces

5-FOX VALLEY BOXER-Might never relinquish the lead

9-MONDAYMORNINGMERLE-Good form but tough post

 

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 8:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
3 Lous Lancelot - 8-5 4 Never Mind N - 9-2 5 Marvelous Mystery - 9-5

3-LOUS LANCELOT-Wears them down late

4-NEVER MIND-Meets better but won last three

5-MARVELOUS MYSTERY-Sharp in both local starts

 

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 9:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
4 Kays In Charge - 2-1 8 Sunburnt Silverado - 9-5 1 Lous Avalon - 7-1

4-KAYS IN CHARGE-They’ll have to catch him

8-SUNBURNT SILVERADO-Kadaba favorite broke early

1-LOUS AVALON-Right there every time

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 9:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
7 Rollin Coal - 8-1 4 Fox Valley Leah - 5-2 1 Divine Art - 10-1

7-ROLLIN COAL-Moved too soon in last

4-FOX VALLEY LEAH-Been sharp in the Maurello series

1-DIVINE ART-Can improve in 2nd local trip

Hawthorne Race 9

Post Time 9:50 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Town Gossip - 2-1 4 Street Boy - 7-1 1 Fox Valley Ozzy - 4-1

2-TOWN GOSSIP-Figures off the class drop

4-STREET BOY-Needed last; Seeks to lead throughout

1-FOX VALLEY OZZY-Awakens in somewhat easier company

Hawthorne Race 10

Post Time 10:10 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
8 Vertical Speed - 7-2 3 Deputy Dawg - 5-1 9 Key Ingrediant - 4-1

8-VERTICAL SPEED-Indy shipper in great form

3-DEPUTY DAWG-He’s always good at this level

9-KEY INGREDIANT-Surprised easier in last; figures