Handicapper Tips & Picks

#3 LEOPARDESS is the clear value in the field at the assigned 8-1 ML. They form is buried and competition at the level since returning from the layoff in June. Trips and ground loss/WIDE have played a factor in the end result. Trip and pace adversity was present in the recent 10/13 start  along with the TACTIC- (rider change today) chasing inside/SAVED TRAFFIC making a MOVE X_FLOW and recorded a B- OptixGRADE to upgrade the finishing position as well as speed figure. 

#7 NEWS AT TEN is a contender right back under similar conditions from the B place finish last month and going back to 8/17 with a BTL show finish over this course and N1X condition. They present value as the second choice on the ML in the face of #9 TERRY'S BOY on that returns giving up recency and stepping up in class, factors that require price compensation that does not project to be there should the ML hold. 

#3 FORGIVING SPIRIT has select races that fit as a contender and experience over this course and 5f distance with a level of competition consistency. This race marks the second start off the layoff and the connections scratching from a statebred $20k N1X to run here instead a change in race date that allows for them to pair with J. Hernandez.

Worth getting creative in this spot #5 ALLURING making their third start back off the layoff and second start at the route distance. The STRETCH was projected following the 6.5f Senorita (G3) and there was intent keying off two 8f events over the summer prior to landing in that 9/2 allowance - a race that had adversity (TACTIC- TRAFFIC) for a COLD barn in what had "PREP" signals. They improved all around on 9/28 and should hold some fitness from that WIDE trip despite the two month break into this race. 

Looking at OptixPLOT the Fire Contention and higher 73 SpeedRate present conditions that suit #9 WORD PLAY as a Large Q4 Square to make their late closing run. 

Trip can often be a liability for the rider aboard #8 MAD CHATTER one that has recorded adversity such as the TRAFFIC TROUBLE two weeks ago with races to compete and clear the maiden level in this group.

#2 BARONS BLITZ brings in form from their races this season and upgraded to the MCL level. The figure back on 10/25 fits on par and given a flow upgrade tracking behind a Very Fast early pace in the MSW event on 11/17.

#6 FOUR K FORCE returns from a layoff giving up recency a trade for price compensation. Their form fits at this level and upgraded from the running lines and finishing positions this season. They projected to IMPROVE off the 5/5 sprint and did just that on the two week turnaround on 5/19. They returned to face raining WEATHER conditions on 6/21 and upgraded with the outside draw and up close to the early pace in a race shape that set up the top two to stalk from off the pace.