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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri January 10th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 2

Post Time 1:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 CRIME SPREE should present a pace advantage (Q1) and sits ABOVE on Plot and Speed and ABOVE+ on Class giving a further edge in this field. 

Fair Grounds Race 4

Post Time 2:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The race shape (Sun/72 SpeedRate) suggests an honest early pace and presents vulnerability to ML favorite, #7 RIGHTANDJUST. 

By contrast the race shape flatters off the pace runners: #1 ROCKET HOTSHOT and #3 KEYS INCLUDED.

Fair Grounds Race 6

Post Time 3:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 ROYAL COACH is upgraded in this second start of the meet - they find a lateral change in class drop the 12/19 race though a massive X_FLOW upgrade. A. Concepcion will take over today and looking for the second win in as many mounts for the barn picking up the win aboard Gentle Soul earlier this week. 

#6 AMBRIDGE finds the change in class dropping in for the claiming tag and should move up naturally with that move. The connections wheel right back following a TROUBLE trip 19-days ago and return to the main track, less of a concern for a versatile type that recorded a figure on par with the recent turf form keying off KEE the debut and in line with ML favorite, #7 LOVE PACK. 

Gulfstream Park Race 5

Post Time 1:32 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Looking at today's Plot and comparing with the Race Plot History - a longshot case can be made for #3 BULLET BLUES in today's scenario. In addition to today's race shape their form is clear lacking "red" in the Past 3 Runlines, a BTL effort back on 10/13 earning a B- OptixGRADE and similar B- OptixGRADE at this level course, and distance despite the 5th place outcome on 12/13. 

Gulfstream Park Race 6

Post Time 2:05 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

This is a playable race if the ML sticks with #5 AIR COMBAT as the race favorite, a horse that lands an edge in this spot all around. The longer distance, surface and barn that has a record of coming up short with these type of runners historically - albeit a smaller sample. 

#4 NOTAH figures a logical alternative. They find a reasonable class DROP with some upside on the freshening for the connections. They were effective in claiming company picking up the win to start out 2024 and protected the remained of the season scoring a win in starter allowance company at SAR and upgraded (X_FLOW) from the 10/4 KEE race. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri January 10th, 2025

Download as PDF

Peter's Simulcast Plays

Gulfstream Park Race 1

Post Time 11:20 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Come Dream With Me - 5/2 8 Right Karma - 8/5 3 De la Calles - 6/1

Gulfstream Park Race 2

Post Time 11:52 AM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
6 Precisely - 9/5 8 Justifiably So - 15/1 5 Sticky McShnickens - 6/1

Gulfstream Park Race 3

Post Time 12:24 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Peggysue I Love U - 1/1 2 Holy Coffee - 8/1 6 One Smokin' Rita - 5/2

Gulfstream Park Race 4

Post Time 12:55 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Gua Sha - 3/1 6 Inallprobability - 8/5 1 Chacarera - 5/1

Gulfstream Park Race 5

Post Time 1:32 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Kosher Capone - 4/1 5 Holding the Line [IRE] - 7/2 9 Kantknowitall - 5/1

Gulfstream Park Race 6

Post Time 2:05 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Air Combat - 2/1 1 River Dog - 4/1 3 Unclecharliesgift - 15/1

Gulfstream Park Race 7

Post Time 2:35 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Sri Lanka - 12/1 8 Aspen Dawn - 4/1 1 Justdeny - 2/1

Gulfstream Park Race 8

Post Time 3:05 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Stormy Mitole - 9/5 4 New Diamond - 7/2 3 Atalanta Alexandra - 12/1

Gulfstream Park Race 9

Post Time 3:37 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
5 Sashay Away - 8/1 4 Lush Lips [GB] - 4/1 2 Flip Flops - 8/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 1 P L Quicksand 10 Hestonator 3 Vino Louie

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 8 Play Pal 2 Plenty Of Purple 5 Tiny But Mighty

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 3 Lady Get Lucky 1 Bwetterotmachme5 Twin B Tipster

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 7 Shes Got It All 8 Blue Pacific 4 Lyons Bettorday

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 9 Shes Got It 2 Miss Dutton 8 Red Carpet Ready

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi

T 7 Gaelic Piper 8 Mega Generous 1 Filly Boo

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 10 Diamond Ryder 9 Fooly Me 8 Mood Control

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi

T 9 Neverlose Felix 1 Verla Kemp 4 Looks Like Amuscle

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 5 Caviar N Cracker 2 So Much More 1 Dabarnsdawgswatchin

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 6 Love On Me 2 Suntan City 4 Cold Creek Espero