« 01/09/2025 01/11/2025 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri January 10th, 2025

Download as PDF

Emily's Analysis

Fair Grounds Race 2

Post Time 1:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 CRIME SPREE should present a pace advantage (Q1) and sits ABOVE on Plot and Speed and ABOVE+ on Class giving a further edge in this field. 

Fair Grounds Race 4

Post Time 2:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

The race shape (Sun/72 SpeedRate) suggests an honest early pace and presents vulnerability to ML favorite, #7 RIGHTANDJUST. 

By contrast the race shape flatters off the pace runners: #1 ROCKET HOTSHOT and #3 KEYS INCLUDED.

Fair Grounds Race 6

Post Time 3:15 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 ROYAL COACH is upgraded in this second start of the meet - they find a lateral change in class drop the 12/19 race though a massive X_FLOW upgrade. A. Concepcion will take over today and looking for the second win in as many mounts for the barn picking up the win aboard Gentle Soul earlier this week. 

#6 AMBRIDGE finds the change in class dropping in for the claiming tag and should move up naturally with that move. The connections wheel right back following a TROUBLE trip 19-days ago and return to the main track, less of a concern for a versatile type that recorded a figure on par with the recent turf form keying off KEE the debut and in line with ML favorite, #7 LOVE PACK.