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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri April 11th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Keeneland Race 1

Post Time 12:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 TWIRLING ROSES shows up here where the connections E. Rodriguez/M. Murrill are live as can be at Hawthorne and could have found a spot there though make the KY trip to show intent. This gelding fits the race shape (Plot) and condition, along with form cycle on the upswing of their current "every other" pattern. 

#5 LUCKY SHOT was much longer than today's projected odds showing up under similar conditions running a big race (B) in the place finish. Even with a post shift they could find a similar tracking trip with the projected early speed in this field. 

Keeneland Race 4

Post Time 1:36 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 PAT'SCHROMECOMPASS has a live longshot look to consider. The races back in August (2023) fit with today's race par on figures and class. That is consistent with the form for this barn since returning from the layoff last October and now second off from the 3/13 WIDE MOVE B- effort.

#3 MUSTANG LADY fits this race shape, speed figures and class with a positive distance change to ONE_TURN. Value still required on the win end with the overall race record, though could drift from the 7-2 ML in this full field where.

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#3 MINK STOLE (legendary actress let it be known) drops back into MCL company where she was most competitive during the fall to move up with today's race and that class change. She brings in current form and figures on par as well as preference for the extended sprint distance. 

Keeneland Race 10

Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#2 HELM PLACE can be given a slight upgrade with the outside post and race shape with the winner (and next out stakes winner, Final Gambit) winning from off the pace. Common rival from the 2/15 debut, #11 TASK FORCE appears well intended (likely shorter than the assigned ML) for this spot noting they were entered under similar conditions and 9f distance on 4/6 (Sloppy) with Prat named landing here for a second start.

#5 IMPERIAL RULER should be overlooked from the group of sophomore second time starters and with upside from their debut last November. They debuted as the only FTS in the field, late in the meet and perhaps not as "race ready" though given a race all the same. That race with a higher par and time since could see improvement and placement a much lower par than the debut. As far as the recorded speed figure it is not far off others in this field to project a move forward to get on the level.

#4 DIVER (cross entered on Sat) projected to move up with the DROP which they did their return MCL races this season at TP. The other projection EQUIP/blinkers will be added return and the change to move up in this third start off the layoff. 

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri April 11th, 2025

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Peter's Simulcast Plays

Keeneland Race 1

Post Time 12:00 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Twirling Roses - 4/1 5 Lucky Shot - 2/1 3 Dancin With Angels - 6/1

Keeneland Race 2

Post Time 12:32 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
7 Gorrono Ranch - 2/1 1 Satisfied Mind - 7/2 4 Cheekwood - 8/1

Keeneland Race 3

Post Time 1:04 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Love Me Not - 4/1 8 Papa Yo - 7/2 3 Business Model - 5/2

Keeneland Race 4

Post Time 1:36 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
10 Tammy's Cruiser - 9/2 9 Brooklyn Can Dance - 6/1 8 Rare Ruby - 4/1

Keeneland Race 5

Post Time 2:08 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
1 Ramsey Pond - 4/1 4 Hear the Queen - 7/2 8 Rare Art - 8/1

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
4 Churning Berni - 5/2 7 Stirred Up - 7/2 6 Fitting - 9/2

Keeneland Race 7

Post Time 3:12 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
9 Dreamaway - 5/1 5 It Ain't Two [GB] - 8/1 4 Abientot - 9/2

Keeneland Race 8

Post Time 3:44 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
3 Surprise - 7/2 2 Meursault - 4/1 1 Play With Magic - 9/2

Keeneland Race 9

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
2 Funtastic Again - 6/1 1 Integration - 3/1 6 Carl Spackler [IRE] - 9/5

Keeneland Race 10

Post Time 4:48 PM CST
Analysis by Peter Galassi
11 Task Force - 6/1 1 Abundance - 5/1 10 Freedom Maker - 3/1

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 1

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 8 Aragonite 9 Rustys Bett 10 Laneside Sportstar

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 2

Analysis by Peter Galassi

T 4 P L Spencer 3 Modelo Gold 7 Mr. Ballykeel

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 3

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 2 Glenboro 7 Lyons Bettorday 5 Western Wish

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 4

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 5 Voom Voom 6 Better Be Donna 7 Chickabell

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 5

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 7 Erinwood Big Mack 10 Misty Cove 5 Parlay King

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 6

Analysis by Peter Galassi

T 3 Uncle Douglas 2 Manforce 4 Flanagan Sunshine

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 7

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 2 Century Lunar 4 Spoiled Beauty 6 West Alexis

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 8

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 7 Time Passer 6 Moving On Over 5 Mood Control

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 9

Analysis by Peter Galassi

T 3 Wearing The Green 2 Caballero 1 Chicago Hall

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 10

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 5 My Last Kiss 1 Superior Delight 2 Allsmokeandmirrors

Woodbine Mohawk Park Race 11

Analysis by Peter Galassi

P 10 Jimmy Whispers 9 D A Magic Mike 2 On Time Delivery

Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri April 11th, 2025

Download as PDF

Stakes Spotlight

Keeneland Race 9

Post Time 4:16 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

MAKER'S MARK MILE (G1): 

#6 CARL SPACKLER fits logically as the favorite for this race on class and speed figures even with their runstyle for this mile distance. Current form gives up recency after 160-days from the BC Mile (G1) though has run off a layoff in the past to hold against them with the other strong factors in their favor. 

On class and speed figures, #1 INTEGRATION also checks those boxes though a horse that has been most effective going slightly longer than a flat mile. They ran in this race last year with the show finish (B-) over a yielding course and honest late MOVE behind first run winner Master of the Seas and fellow Appleby place stablemate Naval Power. 

Trying to find some value in the race the play against #8 NORTHERN INVADER as the projected second choice. For this G1 event they are tested for class often struggling with some favorable trips in G3 company lacking an edge over some others in this field. 

#2 FUNTASTIC AGAIN is a proven miler and fits this race where they could be overlooked off the layoff and recent running line. The Mint Millions (G3) at KEE truly fitting name with the $2 million dollar purse and FUNTASTIC AGAIN a slight flow upgrade from that race. A further X_FLOW upgrade from the Shoemaker Mile (G1) in their prior start, a race with a similar par to today's event. 

#3 TRIKARI returns in this spot as a confident move to kick off the 4yo season. They closed out 2024 in the Bryan Station, a less than ideal TACTIC- trip and COLD barn on the day - already that trend changing for G. Motion this meet and a positive with J. Velazquez back aboard.