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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Wed April 16th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Keeneland Race 2

Post Time 12:32 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Keying off the debut #3 MENU PLEASE fits a this level in terms of class. Number wise they must step up in that department, though could suggest a top effort here third off. 

#7 FIFTH OF MAY holds the October figure on par and off that race a fit here to compete. As far as the two starts this year they might not have been race ready and upside on that front coming off a slight break into this spot with L. Saez aboard. 

Keeneland Race 3

Post Time 1:04 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

In a race where a case can be made for every single runner in this field, #7 COPPERMASTER presents value one that should be overlooked for the connections. They bring in current form, figures and class that stacks up with today's claiming level. There is a scenario where the early pace is more contentious (Sun) than it appears on paper and suits their runstyle - a dynamic they have been able to compete and win at in the past. 

Keeneland Race 4

Post Time 1:36 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

While #10 DOUBLE BARREL makes sense on the DROP for the connections, there are others with similar form and projected longer odds to get creative with:

#9 ODDSONTONY finds a key rider change after three straight TACTIC- trips returning from the layoff and to their credit improving figures along the way. Today's race is under conditions where they have been competitive in the past to step up off the recent outcome here.

#1 GOD OF WINE holds buried form on the contender level while bringing in current form and from races under a similar par from TP. 

#6 DEWY'S BEAST brings in current and buried form along with their runstyle in today's race shape that could present a pace advantage for them on the front end. 

Keeneland Race 6

Post Time 2:40 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#8 TRUST ISSUES does not have that going for them keying off the main track sprints and fast dirt races and positive Plot position for today's race shape. Those efforts stack up on class, speed figures and all around a level of consistency and improvement with racing. They also bring in runstyle versatility and familiarity with L. Saez, jumping back aboard.