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Sat April 19th, 2025 |
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Emily's Analysis
Keeneland Race 1
Post Time 12:00 PM CST
#1 BELLA VITTORIA can be given another look as she makes her second start off the layoff and change in class. The return race was not ideal with the slight stumble, TROUBLE_S coming out of the gate making a RUSH into a DUEL/FTQ before losing ground.
Keeneland Race 8
Post Time 3:44 PM CST
With #5 JUST A TOUCH projecting to be a heavy favorite, looking at a couple of longshots with an upset chance or at the least to spice up exotics:
#2 PARCHMENT PARTY must step up in the speed figure department though arguably has some of that to blame in terms of trips efforts with "green" from BTL to IMPROVE since returning from the layoff, suggesting they have yet to show their best as an older horse. #4 NATIVE LAND is another with upside returning as an older horse. They showed ability from the debut and improved during the sophomore season stepping up on speed figures and the class rise. The return on 1/25 on turf recorded BTL while finishing off the board and backed up with a subtle trip in the show result last month at TP.
Santa Anita Race 2
Post Time 3:32 PM CST
#4 ZOMBO BOMBO brings upside off their current form and key surface switch as one that could project to move up on TURF. That projection was backed returning from the layoff in Feb along with an IMPROVE in which they followed through with the show finish and progressive number at this level on the dirt last month.
Santa Anita Race 4
Post Time 4:36 PM CST
#4 TITANIC THOMPSON is another that should appreciate the surface switch (TURF) coming back today for a second start. The debut placement in stakes company was ambitious though an honest effort showing run making a WIDE MOVE after a SLOG - the change in footing out of the gate might assist on that front.