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Sun September 7th, 2025 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Post Time 2:43 PM CST
1-BIAGODDESS might not have the highest speed figures, but I like the way she has finished her races. She’s fresh off her maiden victory, scored against the boys on the lawn. Going from turf to dirt is often a big handicapping move. We know she can get the distance easily. Could provide a mild surprise. 2-TUM TAP might hold a slight speed advantage, but it seems like most of these fillies could be fighting for the lead. It’s possible that she’ll outlast them but it’s also possible that her rivals will soften her up just enough. 3-TIZ CHINA, stablemate of top choice, could draw more action than her teammate. She’s also making her first start against winners and it’s possible that she’ll be fighting for the lead.
Hawthorne Race 2
Post Time 3:21 PM CST
None in here have shown much but 4-WILD DREAMS has some speed and could grab an easy lead in a field that would seem unable to catch her. 5-L MULA UNO drops and turns back. That could be enough. 1-TOUR DE’ PORT has alone finished in the money almost double the number of times the rest of the field has been able to achieve that level of success, combined.
Hawthorne Race 3
Post Time 3:47 PM CST
5-DEAL'EM AND WEEP is the choice but not necessarily a strong one. She’s been favored in every race this year, winning time. She possesses a good closing move but can display speed if needed. But think she’s at her best if she saves her best move for late. 2-OH MACARCENA won two of her last three. She pretty much wired the field in last, beating top choice in the process but came from far back to score three races back. Not sure she’ll be sent to the lead today, there’s plenty of other speed in here, but she did show her tenacity in that last victory, in case she does try for the front end. 6-GEORGIA ON E’SMIND and 4-MADELYN ATTACK could be fighting it out on the front end.
Hawthorne Race 4
Post Time 4:17 PM CST
3-NIGHT BLUE just graduated on turf. A little surprised that she has been entered at such a low level and that she’s racing on dirt but there must be a reason. She finished third in her only start on dirt, a maiden at Fonner, but think she’s going to be a handful on any surface at this level. 4-SHARP ATTACK has been in a little tough since getting claimed by this barn. She’s likely to display better speed and probably more staying power with the drop to this level. 1-ROSE'S WISH improved greatly when dropped to this level in her second start since moving to this barn. Middling speed should have her in the hunt early and her ability to finish well could propel her to the front late.
Hawthorne Race 5
Post Time 4:47 PM CST
3-MAN ON ATTACK outran his odds in the Buck’s Boy in last, finishing third in that strong stakes field. He was narrowly beaten in last year’s edition of that race. He has managed to win only one time on turf but either of the runners that beat him in that last spot would be 1-9 in this race. Just giving him the benefit of the doubt in this one. 5-KING OF THE PALACE could run them down. He’s racing for the first time since January but has been training well for sharp connections. Drops to the lowest level of his career. 6-HAWK'S CREEK won his first start of 2025 but never got out of sixth in last. He’s also dropping to an easier level. Could easily wake back up.
Hawthorne Race 6
Post Time 5:19 PM CST
Not sure if 3-RUMBLING holds a major advantage but he does seem most likely to win this. He finished in the money in all three of his ventures at around this level, including his last two after returning from a layoff. Speed figures suggest that he’s tons the best. Might finally prove it. 7-MARK MY MEMORY raced competitively here earlier this year and late last year. Now he’s shipping back from Canterbury. He tired badly when stretched out in his most recent start but he might be the quickest of these and the turn back in distance could have him in control throughout. 5-CANTARITO drops and turns back in distance. He tired in last couple routes after displaying decent early speed, but he finished in the money in his previous two sprints in Indiana.
Hawthorne Race 7
Post Time 5:47 PM CST
Pretty competitive race. Going to give 1-TAUNTING the nod, simply because he has been improving with each passing race. He wired the field in his first turf race of the year, ran into traffic troubles in his following start and then just missed after a stretch duel in last. Doubt if he’ll be sent to the lead with all the other speed in here but he’ll never be far back. Can edge by late. 3-CANYON STREAK, like top choice, is versatile and capable of running well on or off the lead. He didn’t handle dirt in last when the race was moved to the main track, but he has been competitive in every turf race other than the Canterbury Derby. 2-IRIS'S DREAM will be coming late. He has faced some good competition, including his lone local race here last year, but he hasn’t raced since March, and he has had more than his share of layoffs.
Hawthorne Race 8
Post Time 6:17 PM CST
8-ZEE is zee choice (sorry). She ran very well in her debut; finishing second to a tough winner while finishing clear of the third-place runner. It’s from a small sample but her barn wins with 56% of runners making their second career starts. 7-GOOD AND NAUGHTY is another filly making her second start for a barn that excels in that category. She also finished second in her debut, racing at Fairmount. Both these young ladies own good early zip and could wind up in a speed duel. 6-DREAM EAGLE runs for a barn that doesn’t have a high percentage of debut or 2-year-old winners but the barn in winning at a 29% clip at the meet and this filly appears to be training very well.

