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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat November 15th, 2025

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Emily's Analysis

Woodbine Race 2

Post Time 12:34 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson
#2 ROYAL ENTRY in theory should have moved up on the class drop on 10/3. Granted they had a WIDE trip and change to the one turn distance, perhaps the timing wheeling back in 15-days also played a role and that combination of factors impacting the outcome. As they return here they have been given more time between starts, 43-days, and back at the route distance with a rider change where any of the "excuses" last out can not be given back today. 

Woodbine Race 3

Post Time 1:03 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

While as individuals #4 SHADOW REALM, #7 RAPID GREY and #8 GOOD KING SAM fit today's race; when looking at the Plot all take up a similar runstyle role and Plot position (Q1/3) to contest pace and must deal with each other. That "Fire" scenario could see #2 TUTTI CONTENTI look for the upset tracking with first run. They should move up as well with the class drop and two recent WIDE trips following the 8/16 win including the GATE Keyword in the recent 10/19 start as a factor in outcome. 

Woodbine Race 6

Post Time 2:34 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#7 SOCIALLY INTACT earned a follow from the debut back on 10/10 with the EX - EXCUSE completely missing the break (VSLOG) and from there showing run making a MOVE and CLOSE with legitimate in running TROUBLE+ and visuals to suggest IMPROVE. They did improve two weeks later in the second start on 10/25 recording an improved number and B- OptixGRADE despite the 6th place outcome. They return to the level of the debut and with that buried form for a live longshot look here. 

#2 WUNHAPPY RABBIT also upgraded following their EX - EXCUSE from back on 8/17 along with the class drop playing a role in the lace finish on 9/7. They showed that was not a one-off coming back to the MOC25 level on 10/31 (B-) making a BURST (following the typical SLOG) WIDE in the place finish behind the BOS/pacesetting winner, Chargethatmountain. 

Woodbine Race 8

Post Time 3:38 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 PLAYMEA TUNE was upgraded at this level on 10/18 off their graded stakes form and figures this season and deserving of a look right back. While the outcome (5th) was not the ideal, the effort still honest pairing up a 92 figure (well within today's par) and B- OptixGRADE to counter the finishing position when noting the GATE SLOG and MOVE into a Fast early and late pace. Their form along with runstyle should suit today's dynamic and perhaps even benefit from the extra half-furlong while holding projected longer odds than rivals #3 SOUPED UP and #6 TWIN CITY those two rivals recording the same B- OptixGRADE as PLAYMEA TUNE even with the change in finishing positions.