Handicapper Tips & Picks

Value case for #4 OL' BLONDIE with some changes in to this spot paired with the back class (subtle current) edge. Those changes are key along with timing wheeling right back second of the cycle and two week turn around from the 11/7 event when fractious in the GATE. They also return with a rider change back to E. Flores, a rider who has been aboard in the past to suggest some intent with that coming back here looking for the first win of 2025 and as the meeting does start to look towards the final weeks. The 5.5f distance can be tricky though this mare does have distance experience to go off of where trip will be key with their runstyle as the case for many in here. 

#6 LONNY'S GAMBLE requires the 6-1 ML in terms of fair odds while reasonable to project a top effort coming into this event. Number wise they lack an edge while did pair up figures back in June on the lower end of today's par - suggesting they are still "fast" enough to win. Their current form should present a move forward with the return to the route distance and perhaps some further intent with the timing of this rider change - this 2025 season R. Hernandez and J. Carroll teaming up with 27% win with 50% ITM and near positive ROI

#3 EVER DANGEROUS wheels back under similar conditions getting a rebate from 10/24 when unprepared at the start, the rider was off in the gate, the bridle was off during the running and despite all of that still riderless hit the wire first  - and as initially projected on the day from the public as the 5-2 race favorite.  

While #7 STIRLING CASTLE earned the highest last out figure and sure to get attention off that, a new top paired with the step up to take on winners makes them a vulnerable favorite in this spot. 

Especially when considering a more legitimate contender in #8 CAPTIVATING NAME returning for just a second start in N2 company and lower tag (intent) while upgraded from the 10/26 start making a WIDE MOVE X_FLOW in running. 

Longshot #4 YODDHA fits that role on the win end though can be used underneath and sure to be dismissed given their recent running lines and finishing positions with some subtle trips and key distance STRETCH here; #9 RIDE FOR THE PURSE brings in current N2 form moving up at this level and extended sprint distance with the B- OptixGRADE recorded on 10/24 despite the 5th place outcome noting the open length 1-2 chalk winner, Chambers in a race shape with minimal change in running order.