Handicapper Tips & Picks

Going to give a look right back with #5 SOCIALLY INTACT on the one week turnaround subtle trip, flow-upgrade and rider change. Going back to their debut on 10/10 with the EX - EXCUSE completely missing the break (VSLOG) and from there showing run making a MOVE and CLOSE with legitimate in running TROUBLE+ and visuals to suggest IMPROVE. They did improve two weeks later in the second start on 10/25 recording an improved number and B- OptixGRADE despite the 6th place outcome. Giving a pass from last week, they return to the level of the debut and with that buried form for another live longshot look here. 

#6 ABINO BAY recorded a B OptixGRADE in their lone start at this $25k MOC level back on 9/25 to upgrade as they return to the right level for their abilities. Some upside is present with #5 CALL ME KAYKAY finding the change in class for the first time and holds buried form and competitive figures from prior efforts at the higher $40k MOC condition to move up naturally. The barn and rider change could present further intent while coming off a TACTIC- TRAFFIC TROUBLE trip showing run despite the line and finishing position back on 10/16.

#8 BERTHA also finds the key change in class though overall softer numbers to look towards as a prime contender though can be left underneath. Value also lacking (projected from ML and based on connections) for #9 SILLY RISK as they make their second start. From the MSW debut last month racing as the only FTS in the field paired with TRAFFIC TROUBLE trip upside (PREP) can be projected though the big drop after showing run on debut lacks some confidence. 

#5 JUST FOLLOW ME gives up recency (as the case for both W. Tharrenos runners #4 I LOVE TO WIN first start of the season, 398-day layoff) for a belated second start of the meet, though has races that fit to compete, including races at this shorter 5.5f sprint distance.  #1 SOUNDS PRACTICAL wheels right back for their second start of the meet and from the extended 518-day layoff going into the 11/8 start. While they have potential to IMPROVE and finds a lower par while positively remaining at the same higher level allowance. The pattern of TROUBLE_S going back to their 2023 debut must be considered with the rail draw and shorter 5.5f sprint distance - still falling into longer shot territory.