Handicapper Tips & Picks

#4 SAELI will be tested in terms of class though brings expected price compensation; and at the same time arguably upside and even make the case this is closer to a lateral move when looking at race par. The debut race around two turns at ELP held a similar par to today's MSW event, with SAELI given an X_FLOW upgrade on that day. Off that effort they had a strong look at Hawthorne making the distance cutback and circuit switch to race protected. They had to RUSH from the rail and held place with the winner a well intended FTS called Brienne of Skye. SAELI has worked since and trainer N. Vaccarezza already with a turf sprint MSW win this month with Military Cruiser back on 11/12 at CD. 

#2 ANAMNESTIC finds class relief and X_FLOW (11/2 race slowing late winner Just a Photo from off the pace) returning in this spot to move forward and compete. Their form and figures from the races this season along with established synth form including races at this course and distance fit on par. 

#1 FREEDOM PRINCIPLE also with plenty of competitive GP races in their career and over the synthetic including their maiden win back in 2023 as a juvenile. Their form cycle is positive with progressive OptixGRADES to suggest a peak (B) effort in this third start back off the layoff. 

#5 SIL'S GAMBLE returns with the 40-day freshening and back to the level from 10/18 recording a B OptixGRADE and that event holding form going forward. 

Another group returning here under similar $25k NS conditions from a 11/8 common race to upgrade #7 SKYLIGHT CAPER with TROUBLE trip playing a role in outcome still recording a B- OptixGRADE; that similar B- GRADE for place finisher, #6 MOBULA stayed on as the BOS though through a Slow early/late pace. 

#5 LOOKS LUCKY TO ME appears live with their current form cycle pattern paired with the cut back in distance. They should hold fitness while showing speed at the route three weeks ago; and in today's race shape along with jockey Hernandez back aboard, stalk-and-pounce.

Similar trip and intent should follow #11 NEVER SILENT one that should be sitting on a peak effort second off with the chance in class and rider. Perhaps more subtly positive is the change in post moving outside for the first time in a long time, something that should allow tactical options, likely a stalking trip where often with the inside their hand was forced in terms of tactical position. In addition, and in terms of Class and Speed they hold plenty of races in their career to fit as a contender.

#7 PRIMA with again this season a longshot look. They return to the extended sprint distance, one of familiarity in this second start of the cycle and quick return at that. In terms of runstyle they have versatility though unsure which tactic will be used today with the rider change and could expect them to send as that has been the path of success for jockey D. Nelson this month with their three wins on the lead. 

#1 SYMPATICO off the change in class and recent recorded speed figures is, unsurprisingly, the projected favorite and reasonable to assess as the horse to beat. The find the change in class and lowest par of their career, factors that should allow them their best chance. The distance change should be noted especially with the projected shorter odds and overall a change though going back to the 9/11 race, the lone two turn event on the turf, recorded a figure in line with their abilities and subtle adversity on trip while holding the B- OptixGRADE in that 4th place result. 

The change in class projected to move up #2 MY EMMY on 11/13 and wheels back from that event while upgraded after chasing WIDE X_BIAS to consider at double digit odds. #3 CHARITY FIRST also should be flying at longer odds given the recent finishing positions and after the GALLOP+ less than two weeks ago should be sitting on a return to a top effort and those races in line with many in this field.