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Thu December 11th, 2025 |
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Emily's Analysis
Woodbine Race 5
Post Time 5:35 PM CST
Value type race should #3 ALTA CALIBRE and #11 ANITA MARGARITA listed as the top two ML favorites hold that assignment at post time as they take a rise in class and lack an edge on that Class (and Speed/Pace as well) front.
#4 STERLING HEIGHTS not only projects to IMPROVE wheeling back from the 11/6 race but also picks up a rider change following the TACTIC- trip to suggest intent.
#2 MCGILL returns with a 35-day freshening with this angle for the connections this year at WO hitting at 25% with 46% ITM.
Woodbine Race 6
Post Time 6:05 PM CST
Flores has piled up TACTIC- rides aboard #8 KAMASI this year though the connections willing to given another chance. Part of those tactical errors in the two recent start could have been due to the inside draw and SAVED (similar on 8/24) and moving to the outside could just be the right change. Their efforts on their best day number wise stack up with both #1 CAJUN INFLUENCE (NO_FINISH) and #6 MEW N ME (DROP) and KAMASI should be higher odds than those runners.
Woodbine Race 7
Post Time 6:35 PM CST
#2 QUIET MADDELENA holds a subtle class and PLOT edge coming in ABOVE+ returning from the slight 42 day freshening. They have run against open company with the higher race par since the 8/31 win and reasonable to suggest they required some time to recover after pairing top figures on shorter rest back in August - those number sitting above today's par.
The drop in class also notable and should move up #4 CYMBAL COURT (likely favored) one that requires the right trip similar to that one back on 10/10 for this shorter sprint distance. Their stablemate #7 REALLY THIRSTY has a scenario (Q1 Circle above ParLine) where they could clear and take this field gate-to-wire, could be upgraded if the course on this colder evening is favoring front runners.
Woodbine Race 10
Post Time 8:05 PM CST
#7 LADY OF THE NILE was a weaker favorite on 11/14 though that could change here and present value. They lacked an edge in that shorter odds role, though the trip did them no favors with the TROUBLE_S and RUSH taken in hand NO_PUSH late. The wheel right back, appears no worse for the wear with a rider change.
#10 MY EMMY was upgraded with the change in class and racing WIDE _X_BIAS on 11/13. They returned on 11/27 and X_FLOW that day - both from the outside post and route distance. At least one of those things changing here to potentially assist and returning to a top effort can compete.
Woodbine Race 10
Post Time 8:05 PM CST
#7 LADY OF THE NILE was a weaker favorite on 11/14 though that could change here and present value. They lacked an edge in that shorter odds role, though the trip did them no favors with the TROUBLE_S and RUSH taken in hand NO_PUSH late. The wheel right back, appears no worse for the wear with a rider change.
#10 MY EMMY was upgraded with the change in class and racing WIDE _X_BIAS on 11/13. They returned on 11/27 and X_FLOW that day - both from the outside post and route distance. At least one of those things changing here to potentially assist and returning to a top effort can compete.