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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri May 1st, 2026

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Ron's Picks

Churchill Downs Race 7

Post Time 5:48 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 Shisospicy - 9/5 3 Time to Dazzle - 15/1 5 Queen Maxima - 7/2

Churchill Downs Race 8

Post Time 6:30 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
4 Paradise - 15/1 9 On Time Girl - 5/2 8 Goodall - 3/1

Churchill Downs Race 9

Post Time 7:12 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
2 Baeza - 5/2 7 Skippylongstocking - 7/2 9 Disruptor - 6/1

Churchill Downs Race 10

Post Time 8:01 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
6 Gezora [FR] - 4/5 3 Whiskey Decision - 4/1 5 Kathynmarissa - 8/1

Churchill Downs Race 11

Post Time 8:56 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 Shred the Gnar - 3/1 9 Fully Subscribed - 7/2 4 Miss Justify - 15/1

Churchill Downs Race 12

Post Time 9:40 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
5 Just Aloof - 8/1 3 Imaginationthelady - 4/1 1 Storm's Wake - 6/1

Churchill Downs Race 13

Post Time 10:40 PM CST
Analysis by Ron Uchman
10 Prom Queen - 8/1 2 Zany - 4/1 11 Percy's Bar - 6/1

Kinda glad I wasn’t the person making the morning line for the Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks. What a tough race. I wound up selecting #10-PROM QUEEN. She’s lightly raced compared to many here but she has certainly looked good so far. She won her last two and rated the comment “ridden out” in those last two victories. Obviously, this is her toughest task yet and she has to succeed in her longest race so far but think she’ll be up to the challenge. Morning-line favorite #2-ZANY was a daylight winner in her first three races, including a race at this distance last year, but she wasn’t able to keep that win streak alive in her last start while going off as the heavy favorite. It’s quite possible that she didn’t handle the “good” track condition well and she did finish second, well clear of the third-place finisher but she was beaten by Percy’s Bar, another member of this field. 11-PERCY’S BAR finished first in a pair of Grade 1 races, including last. She was DQ’d in the other. Appreciate that she was able to beat Zany in last despite making her first start since the Breeders’ Cup last year.