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Fri June 19th, 2026 |
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Emily's Analysis
Churchill Downs Race 6
Post Time 5:18 PM CST
#7 HERCHEE fits as a contender and with value in the group adding intent wheeling back in less than 30-days following the long layoff to start the season. Their overall Class and Speed (ABOVE) figures on par with a runstyle to work a trip/PLOT (ABOVE) given the race dynamic. While the outcome on 5/21 might not look great "on paper" they chased WIDE up close to a Fast early pace with the race shape slowing late and blanket type finish at the wire.
Los Alamitos Tb Race 6
Post Time 5:34 PM CST
Bringing in some hidden early speed #4 CURLIN'S KAOS (Q1) could look to take advantage on the front end. In terms of current form, they likely were given the race off the layoff (front wraps added 5/10) and some intent wheeling back for the Crystal Water stakes though unable to compete for a top spot making a WIDE RUSH into a Very Fast early pace and no match for the front running chalk winner, Flyover.
#6 ZEUS' WAR follows a pattern of intent second off with upside from the 5/10 layoff returning trip. They were WARN on the day and less than ideal TACTIC- making a MOVE in a race with a pacesetting winner and minimal change in running order.
Today's extended sprint, 6.5f distance suits #3 CONCORD BRIDGE as they bring current progressive form (improving OptixGRADE) and conditioning into this event third start of the cycle.
Woodbine Race 6
Post Time 5:30 PM CST
#1 FIFTY B M G should look to take advantage of the rail draw, 5f furlong distance and their early speed to pose a gate-to-wire threat. They bring in current form, progressive number into this third start of the season and subtle change in class to further some intent, along with E. Flores along, the rider up for their most recent (November) win.
Woodbine Race 7
Post Time 6:00 PM CST
The back class and number fit as a contender for #8 COOLCOLLECTED. With that said, they must find their form though now third off and TROUBLE_S in the two return races along with TROUBLE on 6/6 taking the drop here should allow their best chance to regain form.
#1 MISS D'S PRIDE has a longshot look given the races this season and some changes following the adversity on 5/30. The TROUBLE_S from the break to TROUBLE in running along with the TACTIC- will see a rider change and back to the extended sprint distance with the drop in claiming tag as well.