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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Fri July 3rd, 2026

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Emily's Analysis

Woodbine Race 1

Post Time 3:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 NAUGHTY DESTINY should be in the right time and place this season to pick up the win and should hold value at the same time. They bring in current form and form established at the shorter 5.5 distance, a shift for rail runner #1 CRUMLIN TROUBLE with NAUGHT DESTINY bringing in tactical speed to run with them early. That trip will be key with #4 BLAZING SKY finding a drop in class here from the open company races though tends to move from further off the pace. 

Woodbine Race 2

Post Time 3:32 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

Value is necessary to support #1 FIRSTGENERAL NIKAO in this spot coming in lighter than their rivals on speed figures and requires price compensation as a result. With that said, they present upside moving forward with each start in that department and finding some positive changes to suggest if there is another move forward this should be the time. They pick up F. Aebly, a live rider (positive ROI) while returning from a B- OptixGRADE under similar conditions three weeks ago and OptixNOTE in running TROUBLE while making a RUSH carried X_WIDE herded out by another rival in the early stages and the open length race winner from off the pace; a subtle flow upgrade as well.