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Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Sat December 10th, 2022

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Jim's Picks

Hawthorne Race 1

Post Time 12:55 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Kiss N Biz - 6/1 4 Dash to the Cash - 1/1 2 J J's Solution - 7/2

Not a great bunch to open the card so look to pace to dictate the race. Kiss N Biz makes her second start at this level since being claimed and gets the bug boy in the saddle once again. She showed good speed last out in a larger field and held on well into the lane. In here she has the potential to clear from the rail and possibly steal this one.

Hawthorne Race 2

Post Time 1:20 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
1 Bourbon Teddy - 5/2 3 Tapit Sam - 8/5 2 Evidence - 8/1

Again along the lines of inside speed dictating things early in a winter card that is the case here in the second. Bourbon Teddy looks to be the fastest to the front. He shortens up a 16th off a solid performance last out and looks to be the fastest from the gate once again today. Race one will give you a good idea of how the track is playing and if Kiss N Biz holds on well in that spot then it should prove helpful for Bourbon Teddy in here.

Hawthorne Race 3

Post Time 1:48 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
5 Baseball Politics - 9/2 1 Lucky Shot - 2/1 2 Tee Burns - 5/2

No real standout in this spot so just searching for a bit of a better price with Baseball Politics. He turns back to the main track after chasing on the grass in his last. With the second start off the layoff there is the potential for him to improve and possibly beat the inside two to the top.

Hawthorne Race 4

Post Time 2:18 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
6 My Brother Cam - 8/5 8 Jacks Spring Break - 6/1 1 Knievel - 5/1

Don't want to overthink this one too much. There's nobody faster than My Brother Cam in here as he should be able to dictate things on the front end. He ran an improved race on the drop last out with the only concern coming that he drifted a bit late in that spot. He won't provide a ton of value in here but a repeat of his last makes him a winner.

Hawthorne Race 6

Post Time 3:17 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
2 Sonnyisnotsofunny - 7/2 7 Vitale - 4/1 8 Mon Ami Fuzzie - 9/2

This is the race where I expect things to turn from a speed track to a closers strip as there's so much pace in this race. With what is likely to be a contested pace upfront, the class drop and second start for the new barn for Sonnyisnotsofunny will make this one very tough. He does drop below the level of the claim so to get out on the horse for the owner will require a win and a claim. This barn is smart and that may be the intent.

Hawthorne Race 7

Post Time 3:49 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
8 Lily's Woofy - 5/2 3 Jets a Ginnin - 9/5 2 Athenas Song - 10/1

Really only think this is a two horse race and Jets A Ginnin has disappointed a bit this year with an inability to finish. Lily's Woofy has shown a better late kick recently as she should get a great stalking trip in here. The distance suits and she gets four weeks since her last start.

Hawthorne Race 8

Post Time 4:19 PM CST
Analysis by Jim Miller
7 Manhattan Legacy - 4/1 1 Palace Magic - 7/2 4 Field Daisey - 5/1

Complete head scratcher of a race. None in here with consistent form and none really committed to the front either. Not a huge fan of the long layoff along with massive class plunge for Manhattan Legacy but she has been working consistently and picks up top jock in Emigh in the saddle. If she's ready off the rest you would have to expect she wins on class alone.