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Fri September 22nd, 2023 |
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Peter's Simulcast Plays
Churchill Downs Race 1
Post Time 11:45 AM CST
Churchill Downs Race 2
Post Time 12:14 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 3
Post Time 12:43 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 4
Post Time 1:13 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 5
Post Time 1:45 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 6
Post Time 2:18 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 7
Post Time 2:50 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 8
Post Time 3:22 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 9
Post Time 3:55 PM CST
Churchill Downs Race 10
Post Time 4:26 PM CST
Fri September 22nd, 2023 |
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Emily's Analysis
Hawthorne Race 1
#7 GUITAR MAN fits as a solid favorite in this race and will
look to hold the edge over main rival #8 YOU NEVER CAN TELL for a third time
this season. As far as class #6 FOX VALLEY KODIAK will be tested against.
Though given a mention and follow from a BTL effort on 9/10 and coming back
last week (9/17) a trip with an “excuse” more subtle trouble, excessive ground loss
and projects to all around improve.
Hawthorne Race 2
Coming back from the 9/10 common race: #4 FOX VALLEY JASPAR can
be upgraded making an early wide move into a solid pace - a pace that benefit
#5 GHOST SHARK with his better timed wide move for place. #1 SHARK SOLICITOR
was behind that pair saving ground though finds reasonable class relief here. The
class will be tested for #3 FOX VALLEY PATRIOT coming off a dominant win here
last Friday, a common race with #2 FOX VALLEY PRESLEY one that did lack room in
my opinion, a contrast view to the “garden trip” chart comment.
Hawthorne Race 3
The class change, drive and trip upgraded #5 ARCADIA
SPORTACULR coming back from R3 on Friday, 9/15 into this event. A subtle change
in class comes into play for #7 WESTWIND IDEAL from HoP, however he does not
hold any overall edge with the circuit change into this spot.
The common race for the others back on 9/15 gave the result
and edge to #4 JIMMY THE DUKE. Would have preferred to see a driver change on #8
MYSTIC REVENGE returning here given the trip that day and with better handling
can improve off the recent effort.
Hawthorne Race 4
#7 FOX VALLEY JULIAN is in top form as he comes back today
looking for his third straight win in as many weeks. Going back to 9/10 he popped
with the track record though did have the race flow in his favor. Taking a
forgiving approach from that event, an excuse can be made for #1 DOWNTOWNLEROYBROWN
though as far as class he has struggled under similar conditions to today’s
event.
#6 GORGEOUS BIG GUY had the edge over #5 FREEDOM’S PLAYBOY
on 9/10 and validated their form with PLAYBOY coming back to win last Sunday at
a lower class level and regain confidence. Also returning from that 9/10 event,
#3 ENRICO PALLAZZO ran well behind a flow winner last Saturday and similar
overall effort to #2 R TYLER TOWN going back to opening weekend.
Hawthorne Race 5
The effort from #3 MAJOR HARLEY was a “winning” type race for
the level though caught a dominant Fox Valley Patriot, one running earlier on
the card, to settle for place on 9/15.
#8 SUNMASTER returns with the slight class relief from 9/15,
a change that should move him forward and back to more competitive ways here. Value
is the main concern on #7 LUCK ON THE BEACH a capable type though cane be
tougher to trust.
#1 DUNCANS RANGER can outrun his odds once again, his trip
in the show finish last week was far from ideal and he earned that award though
adversity and returns under similar conditions today. The overall was in line
with #5 KOA, one that projects to be the shorter of the two again today. #6 ARA
DASH was a cut below (similar C+ for #9 DUM LUK MOOSS) those two last week
though showed run making a wide move and also was warm, something to look for
today on the track.
C. Stewart sticks with LUCK ON THE BEACH over #10 VINNY LOU one
that dominated the field (albeit flow-aided) last Sunday and steps up as he
returns today. #4 SPORTSMADNESS also driven by C. Stewart on 9/15 when he flew under-the-radar
coming back from the opening day common race (subtle trip) to pull off the
upset – both will step up in class coming off those wins last week. Class also
could be hurdle, especially on the win end for #2 REVEREND SCOTT, though worth
a follow as he returns to this circuit.
Hawthorne Race 6
#7 FOX VALLEY YORK returns from a 9/10 solid race and
overall competitive effort behind some solid runners throughout this season. #5
FOX VALLEY DURHAM has finished in front of many of today’s rivals and the “winningest”
horse in the race. That edge will likely see him heavily favored here today and
capable in the same right.
Hawthorne Race 7
#5 FOX VALLEY LANDEN was the 9/10 winner and did so
dominantly though noted a ground saving trip and figures to be a legitimate
threat again, though most obvious. #3 FOX VALLEY CAYMAN earned a follow from
the 9/10 common race. It was a BTL effort despite the result off the board and not
only can improve though could figure intent with the driver change as Casey Leonard
takes over and the two teamed up for a check on 8/29. Rival #4 FOX VALLEY
STEELER also returns with a change today following a wide trip; and one that
has back numbers that make him competitive with a rebound. #2 FOX VALLEY
LANGLEY might still be a start out from a top, though has common running lines
and including a win over LANDEN last season.
Hawthorne Race 8
#7 CHECKME raced against some common rivals back on 9/9 where
he was compromised on trip given an Excuse parked extra-wide making a move
against the flow and overall showing run in a sneaky BTL way.
#3 PLAYTOROCK also earned a follow with a extra-wide trip
and overall effort in line with the DQd #9 MUCHO DIAMANTE and projects to be
the bigger number of the two today. In addition, PLAYTOROCK returns from the
9/15 common race when contact/TROUBLE from a rival knocked him off stride and from
a better result and one that could be overlooked here today.
The winner of the 9/15 race, Sportsmadness, was an also-ran
with subtle trip on 9/9 and from the common race many return from here. #1
RESERVED PARKING has shown improvement race-to-race this season and from those
common races. #5 FROZEN SHARK could get overlooked today though one to keep on
the radar as he could get lost on the board and showed a strong closing move on
9/15 to catch the eye.
As far as the lightly raced types: Juvenile #6 TOPVILLE
GRANDROCK must improve though can step up on this circuit and not far off #10
IMPERIAL HANOVER a lightly raced four-year-old coming out of the common race on
9/15 with the blanket at the wire making his place result not that much better
than the others from that race and should be shorter given the “2” on paper.
Hawthorne Race 9
#1 HOLDEN STEADY is an upgrade from the 9/17 at a slightly
higher level trip lacking room when making his move with the race slowing late and
overall competitive nature to the field. He shares some running lines with
others in this field including, #10 INCREDIBLE BOMBAY one that is seeking his
first win of the year though has maintained form and with a return to this
circuit.
Hawthorne Race 10
As an individual, #4 MAGGIE AT BAT makes sense in the role
of the favorite, though in terms of trip, she needs pace to run at and could
have that as her main hurdle today. On that same “pace” note rival #8 LION
VIRGIN coming back from the same 9/15 common race caught the eye with her
strong late run and pat the wire, though another that can need pace to target
and a more assertive ride today.
#9 ROAN BY DESIGN looked to be “given” the race on 9/10 and
showed run in spots though not to the lever of that competition. She projects
to improve in this field and class level as well as return to front running
ways, perhaps that tactical assist on her main rivals.
A subtle class change is in play for both #2 SHEZ SELFCONTAINED
and #3 ROCKNROLL DAKOTA from the common race on 9/15 and on the day not much
between the two where the board could serve as the separator.
#6 ERIS has some positional speed and one that should move
up as she finds the much required class relief coming back from the higher
level event last Friday - overmatched. #5 RUNAWAY DELIGHT has some tactical
speed and that could carry in this field and for her local debut.
Fri September 22nd, 2023 |
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Jim's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Hawthorne Race 2
Hawthorne Race 3
Hawthorne Race 4 - PLAY OF THE DAY
Hawthorne Race 5
Hawthorne Race 6
Hawthorne Race 7
Hawthorne Race 8
Hawthorne Race 9
Hawthorne Race 10
Fri September 22nd, 2023 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
7-GUITAR MAN-Monster in the making
8-YOU NEVER CAN TELL-Just paced a very fast mile
2-LOVE IS BLUE-Forget last; can grab a share
Hawthorne Race 2
3-FOX VALLEY PATRIOT-Guns them down late
4-FOX VALLEY JASPER-More effective from this post
2-FOX VALLEY PRESLEY-Could lead most of the way
Hawthorne Race 3
3-TELSTAR-Dangerous on the lead
4-JIMMY THE DUKE-Huge win off long layoff in last
7-WESTWIND IDEAL-In from tougher meet
Hawthorne Race 4
7-FOX VALLEY JULIAN-Set track record two races back and
won again
6-GORGEOUS BIG GUY-Never worse than second
5-FREEDOM’S PLAYBOY-Scored first win impressively
Hawthorne Race 5
10-VINNY LOU-Can overcome 10 hole
3-MAJOR HARLEY-2nd both Haw starts
5-KOA-Last says getting it together; big threat
Hawthorne Race 6
5-FOX VALLEY DURHAM-Just looks faster than the rest
2-RED HOT SKY-Good spot for first win
7-FOX VALLEY YORK-Finishes fast; can surprise
Hawthorne Race 7
5-FOX VALLEY LANDEN-Reeled off 8 wins in 9 tries this
year
2-FOX VALLEY LANGLEY-Good here at two
6-ILLINI JETSET-Won the Incredible Finale Final last year
Hawthorne Race 8
7-CHECKME-Tough trip in local debut
3-PLAYTOROCK-Likely attacks late
10-IMPERIAL HANOVER- Tough post but just missed
Hawthorne Race 9
5-DASH AROUND-Won last time Husted drove this level
10-INCREDIBLE BOMBAY-In the hunt a lot lately
9-AL’S HAMMERED-Off a year; anything left?
Hawthorne Race 10
4-MAGGIE AT BAT-Recent form says she’s the one
2-SHEZ SELFCONTAINED-Expecting improved effort tonight
9-ROAN BY DESIGN-Maybe left alone on the lead
Fri September 22nd, 2023 |
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