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Mon December 4th, 2023 |
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Emily's Analysis
Hawthorne Race 1
#4 ROCKIN PULSE finds the right class change to compete and coming back from the finale last week making a wide move in the 4th place result. It would appear B. Bates had some options in this field and sticks with #5 STREET BOY returning to Hawthorne and noting the two paired up for a front end score back in October. #7 LYONS COPPERTOP tends to follow an "every other" pattern to suggest he is sitting on a top effort this week and should move up off the current form at this level.
Hawthorne Race 2
#4 HE'ZZZ A WISE SKY is a tough horse and tough on the front end which should make things contentious from a pace perspective for main rival, #5 HELLO SWEETIE BOY. #1 MACHDAVID dominated last week and off the effort it is logical for the connections to make the class rise.
Hawthorne Race 3
The early pace should be honest with the complexion of this field including #5 GOOMSTER and #6 PERLUCKY to set up a trip for #3 FLAT OUT FOXY shipping in for this race and current form stacks up on par. The trip and sneaky effort upgrades #1 REIGN AND SHINE returning in this spot from last week and form from earlier in the season. Overall she is a bit "light" compared to some others in here though can get into the mix.
Hawthorne Race 4
#1 LIFEISBUTADREAM should offer value in this spot and can compete in this spot. The effort on 11/19 was sneaky good behind a dominant, Dendy's Showtime and the prior efforts this season stack up on numbers with many in this field.
Hawthorne Race 5
Going back to Night of Champions (10/14) #5 APPLE VALLEY would have been a big favorite has she not have been forced to scratch (sick) from the race. She returns today in the second start of the cycle in what appeared by all accounts a "prep" last week to step up this evening.
Hawthorne Race 6
#1 BROOKLETS BANNER will look for redemption coming up short as the favorite last out and with some excuse playing a role in the show finish making a move against the track profile a race run in the rain on 11/20. #6 SHARK SOLICOTOR the dominant winner that day returns here and has a different task in terms of trip shifting to the outside. Trip on 11/20 was not ideal for #4 SPIRIT SHADOW and could get overlooked off that recent pacing line.
Hawthorne Race 7
#1 MR CHARISMA ships back to Hawthorne and won off the ship during the first part of the meet. His current form stacks up to compete today and appears the circuit and class change is the right move for this one to compete.
#5 CLEARCHOICE DE VIE needs the class drop they find here to regain form and confidence. #6 RJ ROCKS is at the level where they can compete though gives up recency returning today after the scratch (sick) last week
Hawthorne Race 8
#1 DELIGHT MOON has come close though still looking for the first win this meet. That goal should not come any easier than this spot as she comes into this race with competitive form and numbers that stand out in this group. Going back to the 11/19 common race #3 PEACELOVEROCKNROLL had a legit excuse and seems some intent returning here with C. Stewart in the bike. Earlier on the 11/19 card #7 IRIDESCENT REMI also had a legit excuse and enough to give them a look back when returning under similar conditions.
Hawthorne Race 9
The change in class moves up #5 AUNT PERCILLA and #9 LOULITA naturally in this spot. Trotting earlier on the card, #1 LA LOLITA was able to stay flat and showed more than the line and finishing position suggests behind the perfect trip winner, #8 JUSTA HINTOF SPICE. Also exiting the common race, #6 MAPLE GROVE MANGIN looks to rebound here from breaking last week..
Hawthorne Race 10
#10 RUMBLEINTHEVALLEY must find a way to overcome the outside to compete, though their form this season is buried and can compete at this level.
#9 FOX VALLEY CORSO is logical coming back from the common race and win last week over some of today's rivals.
Hawthorne Race 11
#5 RED CLOVER was not asked for their best chasing inside on hold in the rain on 11/20. She has every opportunity to rebound here and could eve get overlooked off the recent finishing position and going back to earlier this meet was competitive against many in this field and under similar conditions.
Mon December 4th, 2023 |
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Jim's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
Hawthorne Race 2
Hawthorne Race 3
Hawthorne Race 4
Hawthorne Race 5
Hawthorne Race 6
Hawthorne Race 7
Hawthorne Race 8
Hawthorne Race 9
Hawthorne Race 10
Hawthorne Race 11
Mon December 4th, 2023 |
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Ron's Picks
Hawthorne Race 1
5-STREET BOY-Indy shipper best of these
4-ROCKIN PULSE-Should be competitive with the drop
1-MILLENNIAL-Been sharp since adding Lasix
Hawthorne Race 2
4-HE’ZZZ A WISE SKY-As always, has to be caught
5-HELLO SWEETIE BOY-Narrowly beat top choice the last
time they met
1-MACHDAVID-Won last two; ready to step up
Hawthorne Race 3
5-GOOMSTER-Certainly likes to win; better post today
6-PERLUCKY-Flies from the gate; catch me
3-ANNAS LUCKY STAR-May get the trip behind all the speed
Hawthorne Race 4
7-DOUBLE PARKED-Maybe never tested for the lead
3-IDEAL’S NICOLE-Stalks top choice; might get by
2-BROOKE’S OCEAN-Maybe switch to Casey is the key
Hawthorne Race 5
9-SKEETER MACHINE-Might overcome outside post again
2-JD’S QUEEN LORI-Been in good form for months
5-APPLE VALLEY-Needed last; better expected
Hawthorne Race 6
6-SHARK SOLICITOR-Easy wins in last two Hawthorne starts
1-BROOKLET’S BANNER-Rail speed might not get caught
4-SPIRIT SHADOW-Claimed from last; can reawaken
Hawthorne Race 7
5-CLEARCHOICE DE VIE-Drops from tough Opens
4-FOX VALLEY CAYMAN-Might outduel rest of speed
1-MR CHARISMA-Comes alive in Hawthorne debut
Hawthorne Race 8
1-DELIGHT MOON-Two-year-old seems most likely
5-DELIGHTFUL DONNA-Best might do it
6-BIG MONEY MISS-L1; like the horse but 0-for-34
Hawthorne Race 9
9-LOULITA-Tough post but drops to score
8-JUSTA HINTOF SPICE-Sharp winner of last main
competition
7-ROCKERFELLER LINDY-Sleeper back from Indy; good here in
past
Hawthorne Race 10
9-FOX VALLEY CORSO-Just dominated similar
5-ZENA LOU-Runner up in last three
7-STYLISH GRACE-Just second to top choice
Hawthorne Race 11
4-ROAN BY DESIGN-Gets easier front-end trip
5-LION VIRGIN-Maybe fastest but has had time winning
2-FOX VALLEY BUSTIER-Flew late to take last