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Wed December 27th, 2023 |
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Emily's Analysis
Turfway Park Race 1
Post Time 4:55 PM CST
#11 CHARLIES MEDAL has form for Grubbs going back and reclaimed for $25k was protected in the two following starts at HS Indy and before returning last month. He should be fit and will require conditioning with the outside post today to compete. The pattern for this barn is similar to last year with second off that saw improvement and win with a change in runstyle. #6 BEOCCA finds a distance and subtle class change in this second start of the meet with the intention in play and coming back from a decent effort all things considered.
Both #3 SHOSHA and #12 BIG HELLO return from competitive efforts in the 12/13 common race, though require value compensation on the win end. Value should stick with #5 CITY OF GOD one that projects to show early speed and can step forward in this second start of the cycle. #1 THALBERG could end up favored for the connections, one that will step up in class off the N2 BLANKET finish last month.
Turfway Park Race 2
Post Time 5:25 PM CST
#1 SHERWOOD AVENUE as the favorite in this race has recorded the higher figures, though a tough individual to bet. He has the excessive layoff lines paired with the massive class drop and gaps in works as he makes his way back to the track.
Turfway Park Race 3
Post Time 5:55 PM CST
Turfway Park Race 4
Post Time 6:25 PM CST
#4 DR. BELLA has a longshot look as she returns from the 12/1 sprint making a CLOSE visuals that project IMPROVE. Number wise and distance unproven she does not have an edge, though should present plenty of price compensation to take a swing. #6 LOTTA ROSES will make her second local start and a class drop returning to A. Meraz. Her local form does not show the "win" though has numbers on par for this event and competitive efforts at the lower $7500k level.
Closers #7 WICKED INTENT (and #3 LIEUTENANT KITTY) has that trip/pace as the main hurdle and factor that has played a role in the overall race record.
Turfway Park Race 5
Post Time 6:55 PM CST
#4 STAKEOUT should be fit for this race with the longer drills and spacing. She turned in a pair of quick gate moves back to back just three days apart and could present speed as well for Corrales to work with. #9 COQUITO was pointed to debut under similar conditions here on 12/20 however she was unable to draw in off the AE and to keep fitness she worked an easy 3f on 12/21 while waiting for this race. #12 NOBLE MADAME will make her belated debut here and longer type was efficient working 20 and change back in June at the sale. There was intent for her to debut at SAR, though had some setbacks and has been back on track working towards this debut. Their worktab coming into this race is a little more consistent than #8 DELIGHTED one that also was looking to race on 12/14 (6f) on AE and likely stayed at KEE working again on 12/16.
The two AE runners #13 OUTSPOKEN and #14 TAP THE CHAMPAGNE would be upgraded if they draw in.
Turfway Park Race 6
Post Time 7:25 PM CST
Compromised by a SLOG on 12/06 #1 DANSEUR D'ORO came running too late settling for place and still earning a B OptixGRADE for the effort and level. She has more tactical speed and likely the plan wheeling right back and rail draw. #3 BROADWAY BLAZE made her first start for the claiming tag in that common race and should be fit returning from that WIDE trip in the second start off the layoff.
Turfway Park Race 6
Post Time 7:25 PM CST
Compromised by a SLOG on 12/06 #1 DANSEUR D'ORO came running too late settling for place and still earning a B OptixGRADE for the effort and level. She has more tactical speed and likely the plan wheeling right back and rail draw. #3 BROADWAY BLAZE made her first start for the claiming tag in that common race and should be fit returning from that WIDE trip in the second start off the layoff.
Turfway Park Race 7
Post Time 7:55 PM CST
#8 ROSELEE MAY raced X_BIAS on debut and upgraded in the 10/26 race when earning a B OptixGRADE landing on the wrong side of a tight photo for the win. She will return to the two-turn distance and subtle trip (and GALLOP+) on 11/26. #5 PEAKCOCK ROAD will make a second start and going back to the 11/29 event, she was part of the Very Fast early DUEL and comes back as a FLOW upgrade. #1 BEFRIENDED will make her debut for B. Cox a barn that has sent out two first time starters this meet with one win and one place, however both sprinting.
Turfway Park Race 8
Post Time 8:25 PM CST
#2 TENEBAUM broke her maiden on debut bet down to favorite from 6-1 ML and was the only FTS in the 11/10 CD field. She earning a strong figure while taking pace pressure staying on as the BOS to get clear by open lengths at the wire. The race last month has been productive with two next MSW winners and almost three as another settled for second, a B effort in a photo for the win. TENENBAUM has been given recovery time and a pair of local works to suggest intent for this second start. The 2-1 morning line is not value, though she might drift in this full field. #1 PUMPKIN SCONE could take up that role for the connections and based on the ELP figures earlier this year.
Coming back off the layoff both #10 ATLANTIC STRIKE and #11 RICHIES GREAT GIRL hold form that fits at this level and the right RunStyle for today's race shape.
Turfway Park Race 9
Post Time 8:55 PM CST
Number/Class wise there is not much between #9 MIKITA and #12 ESME, though the two-turn distance of today's race is preferred for ESME. #6 BELLA MORNING was set to return at this level on 11/30 though was unable to draw in. She is given a mention at the morning line as compensation is required off another layoff though if she returns to the prior efforts she fits right in with this group and level.