« 06/12/2024 06/14/2024 »
Hawthorne Race Course

Handicapping Analysis
Thu June 13th, 2024

Download as PDF

Emily's Analysis

Churchill Downs Race 1

Post Time 4:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 GOLDEN BUCK wheels back under similar conditions though with form and subtle flow upgrade at the level. He was given the upgrade from the 4/27 route event and finished in a BLANKET with the top six together at the wire on 5/26. 

Churchill Downs Race 5

Post Time 5:56 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 SKETCH turned in a BTL effort in the 5/1 stakes sprint over this course and distance and wheels right back in this spot looking for the win and well placed to do just that. 

Tough to see #OKIRO not going off favored here as they have consistently run some of the higher figures in this field and the stakes win two back at TP and some "excuses" in the two starts finishing off the board. 

Class will be the test for #4 RUN CARSON though they fit returning to the TURF and holding their figures has them right back in the mix.

Santa Anita Race 4

Post Time 4:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#6 BRAINIAC is the most interesting in this field making a second start showing some interest on debut with a less than ideal trip. He was caught WIDE chasing an open length pacesetting winner in a race with minimal change in running order and continued to GALLOP+ after the wire. 

Santa Anita Race 5

Post Time 5:00 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#4 ESPRIT ENCHANTE makes her seasonal return and some changes for this race. The move to the TURF could be a positive and finding a more reasonable spot against winners exiting the BC Juv Fillies (G1) and turned in a BTL effort on debut before breaking her maiden on October. 

Santa Anita Race 8

Post Time 6:30 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#1 PLAY MY SPEED can be upgraded from the EX - EXCUSE in her debut last month showing run through TRAFFIC TROUBLE impacting the outcome first out. 

#5 BESSIE COLEMAN turned in a B effort on debut after VSLOG showed a ton of run making a MOVE, LCOSE and continued to GALLOP+ after the wire. 

Woodbine Race 1

Post Time 3:50 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

A Contentious early pace assists #2 RYE PIE even with the shorter 5f turf sprint distance. The class relief should assist in terms of trip as it did in the maiden score closing out 2023 and coming into this race holds plenty of fitness with the WIDE trip off the layoff on 5/10 and making a WIDE MOVE on 5/24 with both efforts recorded a C+ OptixGRADE.

Woodbine Race 2

Post Time 4:19 PM CST
Analysis by Emily Gullikson

#5 SYSTEMATIC picked up the 2023 win under similar conditions last season and ended out the meet with an EX - EXCUSE on 9/15. They returned off the layoff two weeks ago with upside from the trip beginning from a SLOG, TROUBLE_S showing a WIDE MOVE to step forward off of with the changes for this race.